Louis Cangiano walks us through some of the tricks of the trade for KBO!
You know, I am always getting questions for KBO like, “Do I go with this starter and this player or this starter and this player.” It made me think, maybe an article about what I believe is worth prioritizing the most when comparing two sets of options/lineups could be beneficial. In this Tuesday’s strategy article, let’s go over some examples of possible KBO lineup scenarios starting with last night’s shit show of a slate (because of me!).
Okay, so last night’s big decision (for me at least) was Rucinski or Kim. Kim is a very talented young player and was very cheap. Last night, he didn’t have the stuff, but honestly, the decision was valid. Some might say, how can you even compare Rucinski and Kim. But you have to realize we are not comparing them as players (obviously Rucinski is a better player than Kim), we’re comparing statistical output with their salary. So yes, I was wrong about SK and playing Kim at pitcher but taking into account his upside, low ownership and potential skill. I was willing to take that chance.
Kim was at sub 5% projected ownership with the same upside as Rucinski. So, even if he performs 2-5 DK points lower than Rucinski, you have to keep in mind the salary that you are investing in him. Rucinski was $9,200 on DK and scored 20.95 points, solid right? But considering the expensive bats were the ones that you needed last night like, D. Park KIW ($5,300), B. Park KIW ($4,300), Fernandez DOO ($5,900) and J. Kim DOO ($5,400), Rucinski was not the play at all. Fitting Rucinski with Fernandez, Park and Kim would have been nearly impossible, considering their salaries.
Without these major bats, you could not win, and you couldn’t have rostered these expensive batters while also rostering Rucinski. So, while Kim on SK did not work out, just remember other GPP pitchers were the plays, specifically, Choi against Hanwha. You know I should just write up the pitcher against Hanwha every night and keep everyone happy because it seems like that’s just the move.
So, what were my priorities when selecting Kim? First, upside / pure skill – second, ownership, I typically stay away from the chalk plays (unless it’s Koo) and third, game narrative. Game narrative is what I will discuss next, as this concept might be the most important thing to learn and improve on in order to be successful at DFS.
Okay, so we’re talking about what to prioritize when making a lineup and/or tinkering. I discussed ownership, skill and salary above, but what is a game narrative exactly? A game narrative is how the game will play out (in a nutshell). Does Kiwoom win by 10 or is it a close game? Can Hanwha finally win? Or will they get shut out again? Whatever your theory is, you must understand this, EVERY LINEUP YOU MAKE SHOULD BE WITH A GAME NARRATIVE IN MIND.
To explain this in the most poetic way possible, a DFS lineup should be a story of how you think the game will go (especially showdown slates). Don’t select players that make no sense or have no part in your narrative. If you think Hanwha is finally going to score, be smart and invest in their SP – Four points for the win and a somewhat solid outing is a great output for a GPP pitcher who is cheap and low owned, aka Kim for SK last night (or at least what I expected). This concept takes a while to learn, but just keep in mind, you’re betting a scenario; not nine players who you think will do well on random teams.
A lineup is focused on your game narrative and one other factor: Contest Selection. When making your lineups, you always keep in mind game narrative and contest selection…You can’t go wrong.
Trust your gut, play smart, and your time will come!
Hope this helped and remember to follow me @JaguarDFS on Twitter for any and all KBO/MLB questions.