Louis Cangiano walks us through some of the tricks of the trade for KBO!
For today’s strategy article, I wanted to do something that would help with tonight’s KBO slate. I decided to dive deeper into some of the trends that I like to monitor for KBO. What are trends? The definition of a trend is, “A general direction in which something is developing or changing.” This general definition is still applicable for its use in the gambling realm. The NC Dinos are on a league-leading three game winning streak. How has their team batting average changed over this win streak? Have strikeout percentages remained the same? Which players are the hottest/coldest? These are all questions that monitoring trends will answer. Let’s start by analyzing some trends for this NC Dinos win streak that I mentioned prior.
Okay, we have a league-high, three game win streak going on right now for the NC Dinos. First, I want to know, who are their hottest hitters? Let’s see the game logs:
7/5 – Game 2
7/7 – Game 3
What do we notice first? Well, the lineups are relatively consistent, which is good. You don’t want to analyze three games where one of which doesn’t have Eui Yang for example.
With that checked off, let’s take a look at the hottest batter(s) of this three-game span. Look at the game logs; if you can’t see who the hottest hitter has been, you’re in the right place because I am going to tell you! Even though it’s pretty fucking obvious. Take a look at, Suk Min Park – Guys on fire! Over the past three games, he is 9 for 12 with five runs and six RBI. That’s what we’re looking for, baby! Look for Park to possibly affect the batting order tonight.
Production such as this gets rewarded. You may see him higher up in the order, but either way, Suk Min Park’s recent trends are an indicator to invest in heavy shares of Park, and for that matter, batters in front of him as his RBI numbers are way up. Something else I noticed when looking at these trends is the solid production from the backend of the lineup. Not so much a trend, but these are the kinds of things that you’ll notice when searching for viable trends to exploit.
I write this as we prepare for a Wednesday morning EST KBO slate. Will I have exposure to the NC Dinos tonight? Yes, I will! They are set to face SK’s Geon Wook Lee, who actually has a nice ERA and isn’t bad by any means, but NCD does hit him well. Most recently, the Dinos beat him up for five earned off of seven hits over only 3.1 innings pitched on June 3rd.
Finding “the perfect DFS storm” is really the goal when analyzing trends. Obviously, we only monitored one type of stat in this article. We looked at game logs monitoring player stats to see who was the hottest hitter of NC’s three-game winning streak. In finding that Suk Min Park was the obvious answer, we also noticed other things along the way (like the production from the back end of the lineup). If you monitor other stats, you will find trends…trends that lead to DFS success.
I hope this helped and good luck tonight! Remember to follow me on Twitter @JaguarDFS.