Vlad Sedler walks us through the Korea Baseball Organization slate!
KBO DFS – Friday, May 8, 2020 – 5:30 AM EST
Welcome to the daily KBO DFS Breakdown! It’s the fourth day of the regular season and the start of a new three-game series for all 10 teams. All games begin at 5:30am ET, so make sure you’re either waking up early or staying up late since KBO lineups usually get posted about an hour or so before start time.
Given that this is the fourth game of the season, we’re going to see many of these teams trotting out some of their weaker starting arms, though, there are a couple of exceptions. Let’s take a quick look at each matchup. Listed, we have YTD record, runs YTD, betting odds, projected starters and their DFS salaries.
Drew Gagnon (RHP, Kia Tigers)
Gagnon sticks out the most tonight because of matchup and salary. He is likely to be very popular tonight given both of those factors plus the fact that he is actually a recognizable name to those who follow MLB. The 29-year-old has just 35 innings of major-league experience with three of those innings coming last August for the Mets where he was blasted for a whopping nine homers!
He did fair better over 15 Triple-A starts, notching 72 strikeouts in 88.2 innings, though, his 2.33 ERA points to a big chunk of luck given his 4.59 xFIP. Nevertheless, Gagnon is in a nice position to make a solid KBO debut against a Samsung Lions team that has scored just five runs through three games and was the third-worst team (of 10) in the league last season. He’s bottom-three in pricing among pitchers on both DK and FD tonight and the Tigers are favorites.
Hee Kwan Yoo (LHP, Doosan Bears)
Yoo is one of the safer options on the slate tonight with his Bears favored and their offense taking on an 18-year-old SP (Hyeong Jun So) who is making his KBO debut. Yoo is one of the league’s shortest pitchers, has one of the slowest fastballs ever (83 mph!) but has pinpoint control and pitched well for the Bears last year (3.25 ERA). Note, you likely aren’t going to rack up many strikeouts with him. Yoo managed just 64 in 166 innings in 2019! More of a cash game play, but a good possibility of a quality start and for him to last long in this outing.
Tyler Wilson (RHP, LG Twins)
Another recognizable name, Wilson enters his third season in the KBO. Last season, Wilson managed an ERA under 3.00 (2.92, to be exact), exhibited great control (2.14 BB/9) and was amazing as far as limiting long balls (a miniscule 0.34 HR/9 rate last season). His salary is reasonable on both sites, and the Twins are shockingly favorites over the 3-0 NC Dinos. But the one concern with Wilson is pitch count since his debut was pushed back because of a mandatory 14-day quarantine back in the states earlier in April. That stated, he isn’t a “Number 4 starter” and is arguably this team’s best arm. I do have confidence Wilson will make it through five innings, but there’s no guarantee how he’ll fair, especially against a Dino squad that hasn’t even truly hit its offensive stride despite a 3-0 record to start the year.
Other to Consider: Jae Hak Lee (RHP, NC Dinos) – but he is very expensive on DK
KBO DFS STACKS
1) Kiwoom Heroes (vs. Min Jae Jang, RHP of Hanwha Eagles)
My favorite GPP stack tonight is one that will fly a bit under the radar because of a lack of big names and more favorable (on paper) matchups. The Heroes have scored 19 runs through three games (though they’ve faced the lowly Kia Tigers) and are favorites in this home matchup against Hanwha Eagles starting pitcher Min Jae Jang. Jang posted a 5.43 ERA in 26 starts last year, allowing 14 homers (1.06 HR/9).
It’s a good day to deploy a lower-percentage Byung Ho Park ($5400 DK, $14 FD), who led the KBO with 33 homers last season. Speedster Ha Seong Kim ($5000 DK, $15 FD) swiped 33 bags last season (second-best in KBO) and will likely be hitting second today with Jeong Hoo Lee ($4900 DK, $13 FD) in the three-spot as the third part of this stack. But the guy who is going to help you with salary and is a must-play in this stack is leadoff man Keon Chang Seo ($3100 DK, $11 FD), who is far too cheap on DraftKings. He likely won’t hit bombs, but he has some speed and can get on base. Over his last two games, he has a double, triple, stolen base and a couple runs scored. Former Mariner Taylor Motter is another cap saver on FanDuel where he’s only $7 there.
2) Doosan Bears (vs. Hyeong Jun So, RHP of KT Wiz)
Expect the Bears to be your chalk stack of the night. They were the best team in the game last year, have some potent pieces on offense and are facing 18-year-old Hyeong Jun So, who will be making his KBO debut. It’s that last part that is most intriguing to me in GPP builds. Who is to say that this So kid should be targeted ahead of all others simply because he’s only 18 and making his debut? There’s a very good chance that the kid is good!
That said, if you want to go against the grain and not stack the Bears, at least consider Jose Fernandez ($5900 DK, $16 FD) as a one-off. He was second in the league with a .344 batting average last season and is 8-for-13 so far through three games. Leadoff man Kun Woo Park ($5100 DK, $14 FD) is one guy I’d definitely have in a stack, and the third guy would be Jae Il Oh ($4500 DK, $15 FD), who led the team with 21 homers last season. Jae Hwan Kim ($5300 DK, $14 FD) is the likely clean-up hitter again and would be my fourth guy for this stack.
3) Kia Tigers (vs. Chae Heung Choi, LHP of Samsung Lions)
Another solid option are the Tigers since they’ll be facing Samsung Lions starter Chae Heung Choi, who is one of the lowest-priced pitchers on the slate and is coming off a poor season where he posted a 4.81 ERA (3.96 xFIP) and a 3.04 BB/9 in 106 innings. Kyle Tucker’s older brother Preston Tucker ($4700 DK, $13 FD) is coming off a monster game (3-for-5, 1 HR, 4 RBI) but may not be an ideal choice given he’s a lefty and so is the opposing pitcher, Choi. I’d rather start off with last year’s stolen base leader Chan Ho Park ($4000 DK, $8 FD), who can also be used as a cap saver if you plan on stacking elsewhere. Their biggest power guy, Hyung-Woo Choi also happens to be extremely pricey on DK ($5700) but may be worth the price of admission today if you’re stacking this squad.
SNEAKY STACK: Lotte Giants (vs. Seong Won Moon, who allowed a league-high 23 HR last season)
Here’s the sneakiest of stacks for several reasons. Though the Giants were the worst team in the KBO last year, they are off to a hot start (3-0, 23 runs scored). They are facing a pitcher in Moon, who allowed a league-high 23 homers last season and posted a 3.88 ERA (4.83 xFIP). The Giants are going to fly under the radar today, and their key components are incredibly affordable. The hot guy right now is their man hitting sixth (Hoon Jung), who is super cheap at $2500 DK, $8 FD. Jung has four hits and four RBI in his first three games. The man who hits after him is former Detroit Tiger Dixon Machado ($4900 DK, $9 FD), and the other guy to use here is arguably their best hitter, Jun Woo Jeon ($4400 DK, $8 FD).
Good luck tonight and let’s keep it cashin’!
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