Vlad Sedler walks us through the Korea Baseball Organization slate!
KBO DFS – Sunday, May 17, 2020 – 1:00 AM EST
Welcome to the daily KBO DFS Breakdown! The weekend games take place earlier and at a more reasonable time for those of us in the states. Lineup lock tonight is 1am ET, 10am PT. It’s the third game of the series with the cream of the crop squads really separating themselves from the less than stellar ones.
The Doosan Bears continue to mash and crush the competition with a potent offense. They are once again favorites tonight but face off against a decent starter, former A’s and Orioles’ pitcher Aaron Brooks. The Bears won’t be as chalky as usual because of the matchup.
The other team that sticks out on a daily basis is the NC Dinos, who have a 9-1 record and are allowing a league-low 3.3 runs per game. They are the biggest favorites on the board with the most expensive DK pitcher on the mound tonight – righty Drew Rucinski.
Expect to see some ownership on key pieces of the KT Wiz offense tonight against Samsung Lions’ pitcher Ben Lively, namely Mel Rojas Jr. and Baek Ho Kang.
PITCHERS TO TARGET
Eric Jokisch (LHP, KIW) – The Heroes are large favorites tonight and have a stellar arm in Jokisch on the mound. The 30-year-old former Cubs’ prospect posted solid numbers for the Heroes last year (181.1 IP – 3.13 ERA – 1.13 WHIP – 18.9% K) and most notably, kept runners off base with an impressive 5.2 percent walk rate. His first start this year was decent, but he lasted only five innings (66 pitches), striking out four with just one walk and one run allowed. He followed that up with a doozy of a win against the Lions (29.7 DKP – 6 IP – 3 H – 0 ER – 7 K). Jokisch is the second-priciest option on DK and the most expensive on FD. Given the number of decent pitching options tonight, Jokisch won’t carry exceptionally high ownership but does offer the highest ceiling of the group against the LG Twins tonight.
Odrisamer Despaigne (RHP, KT) – Despaigne has racked up the strikeouts through two games (14 in 11 innings), dropping 25.1 DKP in his first start of the season (vs Lotte Giants) and 12.5 DKP against the Dinos. He is priced on the higher end on both sites, his Wiz are big favorites (-160) and tonight’s matchup against the 4-7 Lions is an advantageous one. I’d still target Jokisch as my primary but would use Despaigne if I was unable to fit the offense I wanted because of salary concerns.
Others to Consider:
Drew Rucinski (RHP, NCD) – Biggest favorite of the night against a woeful SK Wyverns (1-9, 2.9 runs scored per game) squad but a high tag on DK (9.2k) makes him tough to fit in the big boys you want on offense tonight. He’s my third points-per-dollar play on the slate and second-highest raw points total guy. I’d still do what I could to get Jokisch in, but it’s hard to imagine Rucinski not cruising through a stellar start and an easy win.
Aaron Brooks (RHP, KIA) – An against-the-grain play and a nice salary saver. The problem is the matchup with a stout Doosan lineup. On the flip side, Brooks has been stellar through two starts. He managed nearly 20 DKP against the Heroes and lasted seven innings against Hanwa for 17.6 DKP. He has thrown at least 88 pitches in each of his two starts, not allowing more than one earned run in either.
KBO DFS STACK OF THE NIGHT
Core: Eui-Ji Yang, LH ($5300 DK, $13 FD), Sung-Bum Na, LH ($4100 DK, $14 FD), Min-woo Park, LH ($4200 DK, $15 FD)
FanDuel Value: Aaron Altherr, RH ($9 FD)
DraftKings Value: Jin-Sung Kang, RH ($2300 DK)
Lower-Percentage: Suk-Min Park, RH ($4900 DK, $11 FD)
All conversations of a Dinos stack starts with their catcher Eui-Ji Yang, who led the KBO in batting average (.366) last season. Sung-Bum Na is the other part of the core that is a must-play. He spent most of last season hurt though hit .366 in 106 PA and in the five seasons prior, the 30-year-old averaged over 25 homers and 100 RBI per season. Na and Yang typically hit third and fourth. Just make sure both are in the lineup. The third piece (Min-Woo Park) is the leadoff man and speedster.
Note that the main reason we’re looking at the Dinos today is because of the matchup with reliever-turned-spot starter Seung Geon Baek who posted a whopping 15 percent walk rate last season (though a super-small sample of 19.1 IP). He is a southpaw, which is why we’re considering right-handed slugging Jin-Sung Kang in the stack. Kang is the value play on DK, and actually on FD as well for just $8. We can also consider Suk-Min Park to round things out (he usually bats fifth). Just note that SK’s pitcher Baek may not be long for his outing as he may not be fully stretched out.
Aaron Altherr had a minor injury last week and just hasn’t been playing up to expectations yet this season. He’s worth a shot on FD for just $9 but is harder to stomach at a whopping $6200 on DK (though that makes him an intriguing contrarian play in large-field tourneys).
KBO DFS VALUE STACK OF THE NIGHT
Hanwha Eagles (vs. Seung Heon Lee) – Lee is min-priced at just 4k (min salary) on DraftKings and is an interesting guy to stack against today given the fact he is the least-known pitcher – a reliever with just two career innings pitched in the KBO. The Eagles won’t be a popular stack though since they are without worthwhile DFS names since Jared Hoying (their best hitter) is on the IL. If you do decide to go against the grain here with a team in a good matchup, consider them in this order:
Sung-Yeol Le ($3200, $9) – Jin-Suk Ha ($3300, $8) – Jin-Ho Jung ($2900, $8) – Eun-Won Jung ($5500, $8)
Le is the cleanup man and is one of the most intriguing value plays on the slate. He has good plate discipline, can swipe some bags (17 last two seasons), hit 21 homers in the deflated ball season last year and had a solid line in 2018 (34 HR – 102 RBI – .295).
KT Wiz – Mel Rojas Jr. ($6000, $15), Baek-Ho Kang ($5600, $14), Sung-Woo Jang ($3000, $10)
Rojas and Kang have hit safely in all 10 of their games this season. Just five homers combined, but Rojas is crushing it with a .465 average and Kang at .333. With the third piece of this offense (Han-Jon Yoo) day-to-day after getting injured in last night’s game, it presents an opportunity for their catcher (Jang) to step in and hit higher in the lineup while offering great value at just $3,000 on DK and $10 on FD.
We can always go the route of the smashin’ Doosan Bears with Jose Miguel Fernandez, Jae-Il Oh and Jae-Hwan Kim, but they are all incredibly pricey (specifically on FD), are tough to fit in the lineup unless you truly punt your pitcher and do face a worthwhile opponent in KIA’s pitcher, Aaron Brooks.
Good luck tonight and let’s keep it cashin’!
Come peruse our entire library of MLB & KBO DFS content!