This article will attempt to bridge the gap between the conservative Man’s Cash Doctrine, and the “all-in” Mass Multi Entry (MME) approach to GPPs. There is a middle ground I call winnable GPPs. They are perfect for the more risk-tolerant DFS players. Many GPPs pay out 20-25% of the field, and if you search you can find some that pay out 2X on your entry fee if you place in the outer fringe.
By all means, play your cash games and take your shots downfield on a large field GPPs when it fits your situation. But here we will focus on the winnable GPPs that pay 22%-25% of the field and avoid the robotic mass entry sharks.
Thoughts on the Upcoming Slates
I’m pleased to announce we have a balanced slate this week. We have five early games and six afternoon games. Happy days are here again! Feel free to build your lineups without the fear of early or late hammers!
UPDATE: CJ and Healy schooled me on this slate. If you play the entire Sunday slate, chances are you will get killed by the afternoon games. So consider dividing up your approach and play some early and some afternoon. Bills/Cards and Seat/Rams have the highest totals on the slate, and are afternoon games.
GPP Lineup Exercise
If you have not heard yet, we had a sub take down the DK MilliMaker last Sunday! So we are going to dive into Joey Skither’s legendary lineup build to see what we can learn. At first glance I was at a loss to see anything special at all with the build. It was stocked with good players in great spots, but with the exception on the Lock/Jeudy pairing and the McLaurin/Giants D bring back, it was void of any deep correlation. I scanned Elite Fantasy and found a smattering of his build scattered across the GPP articles. But still, I was left with puzzled as to how he came up with the lineup. Then I found it. The secret to the build was Mans Cash Game article. All of the players used in the lineup were clearly outlined in Jeff’s article. Five of the plays were cash recommendations and three were GPP recommendations. Keep in mind Mans only makes four GPP recommendations, so hats off to Jeff. The only GPP call Joey didn’t use (due to salary), was Josh Allen, who put up 39 DK points. The odd man out of course was Gabriel Davis, or was he? The fourth round rookie out of UFC caught Allen’s third TD on the day heading to a 4-70 1TD effort. Davis was a $3200 flier at less than 1% owned. I spoke with Joey and he said the pick was salary driven. He added Allen spreads the ball around. Why not to the #4 WR? What a call. Maybe just maybe this lineup was more correlated than we first thought. Remember Josh Allen was Mans fourth GPP pick? Joey knew he had to have a piece of Allen. So this lineup was perfectly constructed per Jeff’s article. There you have it. The build and the story is now a part of Elite Fantasy’s storied history.
|FLEX||Gabriel Davis||BUF||0.58%||$3,200||17||All Joey|
NFL Week 10 – DK
This week we will look into the contests Joey captured on his now famous screenshot to Jeff Mans on Twitter.
NFL $3.5M Fantasy Football Millionaire $20 – As previously stated many times by many people, this is not a good contest to enter and expect to profit. It’s a 150 Max Entry and there are lots sharks that mass enter. Generally the field size is 200K plus, and that is true for Week 10 with just over 207K entries. First place receives one million dollars and entry into the Tournament of Champions. The top prize is 28.4% of the total purse with 38.4% going to the top 10. 22.2% of entries will win money with Min Cash set to 1.5X. So for sure, this is your YOLO entry for the week. Just have reasonable expectations.
NFL $100K Blind Side $27 – There are two regular Blind Sides this week, and it looks like they are both Joey favorites. The winner in this tourney will collect 10K with 10% going to first and 26.5% going to the top ten. Almost 23% of finishers will ring the register with Min Cash set to 2.0X. Joey played the 125K Blindside last week.
NFL $50K Blind Side $27 – This smaller version of the Blind Side has a top prize of 5K with 10% going to first and 31% going to the top 10. Almost 23% of finishers will do a happy dance and Min Cash is set to 2.0X. The field size is a winnable 2159. Our man Joey placed 8th here last week and collected $600. His total was an impressive 197.54 DK points.
NFL $250k Fair Catch $12 – There are three versions of the Fair Catch this week on DK. The 250K is the big boy contest. The top prize is 25K with 10% going to first and 25.6% going to the top 10. The field size is large at 24,500. The top 21.5% of finishers will pad the bankroll and Min Cash is set to just over 2.0X.
NFL $50k Pylon $3 – Joey played the $75 Pylon last week, but they grade out the same. This version has a top prize of 5K which accounts for 10% of the total prizes. Are we seeing a pattern here? The field size is large at 19,800. A whopping 25% of finishes will win some greenbacks with Min Cash at 1.67X. Joey went 10X in the Pylon with 196.50 DK points.
The pattern is very clear here. Joey is a disciplined GPP player that appears to favor SE’s and likes to take a shot downfield in the form of the big daddy MiliMaker.
NFL Week 10 – FD
gshlager, a long time sub asked me to take a look at these three Single Entry contests on FD. They are sponsored by another site that provides content, so they should be easy to locate. Nice call by gshlager, these grade out very well.
$5K Sun NFL Spike $5 – We have looked at a couple versions of the Spike over the past weeks. This flavor has a top prize of 10K with 10% going to the victor. The top ten only receive just a tad over 22%, which is pretty rare and something we like to see. 25.4% of entries will drop some currency into their bankroll! Min Cash is 2.0X. The field size is large at 23809, but you need that many to support the 10K at the top. I’ll see ya in there.
$150K Sun NFL Sweep $33 – Top prize in the Sweep is 15K with 10% going to the winner. The top 25% finishers will get some lunch money, with Min Cash set to 1.8X. The field size is a winnable 5347.
$175 Sun NFL Cover 2 $100 – We looked at a version of the Cover 2 in Week 8. This version is structured completely different. Top prize is 15K with only 8.5% going to first. The top 25% of finishers will pad their digital wallets and Min Cash is 2.0X. The field size is a very winnable 2000.
There you go…three SEs on FD that all pay the top 25% of finisher’s folding money.
Each week I’ll add a rule that you can certainly break, but you may want to pay attention to. For example if you are stuck on two players, apply the rule.
Week one – We learned that you may not want to start an opposing running back against the Pittsburg defensive line. Barkley 15 carries for 6 yards.
Week two – We learned that Leonard Fournette is the guy in Tampa Bay. After a long search, Bruce Arians has finally found his guy. Play Fournette before his salary explodes. Also a shout out to Mans for the outstanding call on Fournette in week 2!
Week three – Week three’s rule was going to be to ignore week two’s rule. But I think you stick with Fournette. Week three’s rule is sell high on OBJ and ignore him in DFS. He has publically stated he’s probably not going to put up big numbers. Let go of the past and live in the now. Cleveland will destroy you on the ground not through the air.
Week four – What did we learn in week four? We learned Hunt is a must play in all formats until Chubb returns. He is going to be a three down back; he has a nose for the end zone, and is now the top weapon at Baker’s disposal. Use Hunt is every format until the wheels fall off.
Week five – OK I’m just going to say it. Matt Ryan sucks without Julio. Whenever Jones has a soft tissue injury in the future, avoid Matt Ryan. Period, done, motion carried.
Week six – What did we learn? We have a new sheriff in town, and because the team he plays on is about as exciting as Jeff Mans in a bathing suit, well we have a cheap former stud week in and week out. I speak of Davonte Freeman. Feel free to flex him in favorable matchups for the foreseeable future.
Week seven – This week I learned I destroy running backs by putting them in this article. Freeman tweaked his ankle last week. Geez, but the good news is Fournette is back and looking like the clear #1 in TB. As I alluded to earlier, we are now seeing Frank Gore give way to Perine in New York. Although they both got eleven carries in week 7, Perine got the call for the only score for the Jets, a five yard scamper in the second quarter. At 4300 on DK, he’s a large field GPP play each week moving forward.
Week eight – What did we learn in week 8? Short and sweet friends. Dalvin Cook is a beefcake stud. If he’s healthy and going to take the field on any given week, play him in all formats with confidence.
Week nine – Dalvin Cook is a beefcake stud…Wait we did that last week. OK this past week we learned the Bears can stop the run. They held Derrick Henry to 68 yards and no TD’s. This week they get Dalvin Cook. It’s the Monday night game. Let’s watch and decide if the Bears have gotten their run D figured out. I think they have, and if so, avoid RBs that typically no not catch the football against them.
Good luck in Week 10…Peace, and as always, stay safe out there.