Duke’s EPL DFS Preview for Two-Game Thursday slate…
Two-game slate incoming. We don’t have one overwhelming favorite but two very different and very interesting games. There are also some interesting storylines we can dive into below. This morning was also the start of my research for the Euros. For those that are new here, for whatever reason, the “sharps” throughout EPL and even UCL turn into donkeys kind of in tournament formats. I think it’s the reliance on EPL style tactics of finding fullbacks and set piece takers and focusing less on finding the goals. Before we get there, focus on EPL but know that your boy Duke is deep in the weeds getting ready for this summer tournament.
To the desert…
EPL DFS GAME THOUGHTS
Wait, didn’t we just see these teams play? Yep. Villa came away with a 2-1 win away to Everton. Now back at home, you’d expect to see them as the favorites, but the line is slightly leaning towards the away side. Both these teams played on Sunday and will likely need to rotate the side to freshen things up a bit.
Everton are just 2 points off the top 6 and a place in Europe. Liverpool are playing at the same time, and if Everton win and Liverpool lose, Everton would vault to 6th place in the table. Villa sit 11th in the table but were just smashed by United 3-1 after taking an early lead. To make matters worse, Ollie Watkins picked up a late red card and will be suspended for this match. Grealish continues to be absent, and Keinan Davis will likely get the start up front.
Everton should have a relatively predictable first 11, but the midfield is a question mark. Overall, I back Everton in this match that could very well end in a draw. The thing I don’t love about Everton is the lack of effort or drive to step on the neck of an opponent who’s down. I don’t see the killer instinct to push for the next goal. It’s led to close games and dropped points throughout the season. As always, Jordan Pickford is one second away from throwing away a goal or two, as well.
WOAH BUDDY! The Scousers are hot under the collar and for good reason. The United fans caused a scene outside of Old Trafford that caused this game to first be delayed and then outright postponed. Who cares, right? Well, everyone. The teams were ready to go. The schedule was made to provide appropriate rest between games. Now, it’s really cramped the schedule for both teams, but more importantly for Liverpool, it significantly reduced their hopes of a top 4 finish. The congestion forced United to play a completely rotated side against fellow top 4 challenger Leicester. With Leicester’s win, an opponent picked up 3 points, and United will now have a fully rested first 11 for the Thursday matchup. I love the gamesmanship from Ole here and hope that both teams come out angry as hell.
There is no need to dive into the importance of this match throughout England. The top dogs for the better part of 200 years will go to battle again on Thursday, and if recent matches are any indication, we are in for a tight affair. One important thing to remember if you are looking at recent head-to-head matches between the two is the sheer quality of Liverpool’s first 11 compared to Man United’s. Liverpool have finished higher than United in the table several years in a row and in most cases by a wide margin. The gap has narrowed and key injuries to Liverpool have allowed United to jump them. That doesn’t mean United will change their approach against the top teams? Sit back and counter.
That creates a funny situation, particularly against Liverpool, who also prefer to counter. It produces a situation where neither team is overly comfortable breaking down lower blocks and at times can create a bit of a stalemate. Liverpool typically has more possession and takes more shots. They don’t always create the best chances.
On form alone, I’ll side with the home team. Liverpool are the away favorites, but I’m trying to wrap my head around this betting line. Prior to the shutout against Southampton, Liverpool had conceded in 3 straight matches. They are unbeaten in 6 but still have injuries throughout the squad and will likely have to play Fabinho at CB again.
This match has the higher total and frankly 4x the talent of the first match.
EPL DFS PLAYS
- Calvert-Lewin – EVE – $6.6K
- Salah – LIV – $9K CASH
- Greenwood – MU – $7.6K
- Mane – LIV – $8.7K
- Rashford – MU – $7.9K CASH
- Richarlison – EVE – $5.8K CASH
- Jota – LIV – $7.2K
- El Ghazi – AVL – $6.9K
- Traore – AVL – $6.4k
- Davis – AVL – $4.8k CASH
- Fernandes – MU – $10.2k CASH
- Sigurdsson – EVE – $7.1k CASH
- McGinn – AVL – $4.6k CASH
- Pogba – MU – $6.1k
- Thiago – LIV – $4.5k CASH
- Barkley – AVL – $4.9k CASH
- Fred – MU – $3.9k
- Iwobi – EVE – $3.6k
- Alexander-Arnold – LIV – $6.7k CASH
- Shaw – MU – $5.9k CASH
- Digne – EVE – $5.2k CASH
- Targett – AVL – $4.3k CASH
- Wan-Bissaka – MU – $4.6k CASH
- Robertson – LIV – $5.5k
- Godfrey – EVE – $3.5k CASH
- Coleman – EVE – $4k CASH
- Martinez – AVL – $4.4k CASH
- Henderson – MU – $4.6k
- Pickford – EVE – $5k
- Alisson – LIV $4.8k
Good luck!! New to DFS Soccer? Here’s an intro with Duke’s Rules & Strategies!