Duke’s EPL DFS Preview for Thursday’s Showdown slate…
It’s a Wednesday but feels like a Friday. To say my week is thrown off would be an understatement and the slates every single day is throwing off my content clock but the work doesn’t stop!
On Thursday we have a nice Showdown slate involving the ‘all but relegated’ West Brom and the biggest team left out of the Big 6 ESL. Lucky for Leicester because lord knows they would have jumped at the chance!
I’ll keep harping on it because it’s important but as we near the end of the season, motivation is the driving force for performance. We’ll delve into each team’s situation in the Game Thoughts section. For now, there is only one thing left to do…
TO THE DESERT….
We cannot forget Leicester limping to the finish line last year after a fantastic start. They took just 4 points from their final 5 games and finished 5th after spending large parts of the season in the top 2!
I’m not saying history will repeat itself but the last two performances have left a lot to be desired. They were played off the pitch by Man City and conceded 3 goals against the run of play against West Ham.
What’s happened to this Leicester defense? It’s not so much that they are giving up too many chances, it’s more so the quality of the chances they do concede. West Ham had 2 big chances and finished both. Man City created 3 big chances. They’ve been punished for mistakes and that’s football at this level.
West Brom are showing a spine but is it too little too late? They are 9 points from safety coming off winning 6 very unexpected points from their last 2 games. Pereira has been absolutely on fire and Matt Phillips is turning back the clock with his goal scoring efforts. Is it fool’s gold or a start to an unbelievable finish to the season? We’ll know come Thursday evening because they essentially have to run the table to have a shot at staying up.
The biggest thing I’ve seen from West Brom over their last 10 games is how competitive they’ve been. They’ve won some games and lost some but it’s always been competitive. You have to go back to early February to find the last game they’ve lost by multiple goals.
They also have only conceded 2 goals once in their last 8 and that was 5-2 win v Chelsea. I say all this to say don’t automatically assume this is a 5/1 type of build. There are viable options within West Brom and while I don’t think a West Brom win or draw is likely, it’s within a deviation of my expected result. We have to account for them in our builds.
- Pereira – WBA – $10.6k
- This comes from Maddison not even starting in the FA Cup. Assuming he starts he’s probably the 1A to Pereira 1B.
- Maddison – LEI – $11.6k
- Tielemans – LEI – $10k
- IF Maddison does not start he’s option 2.
- Iheanacho – LEI – $12k
- How can you argue with his form?
- Albrighton – LEI – $8k
- Surprisingly decent of late.
- Johnstone – WBA – $4.4k
- Our value CPT option that lends itself to a low scoring West Brom win. This is certainly an option that opens up the Pereira/Maddison build.
- Maddison – LEI – CASH AND GPP
- Pereira – WBA – CASH AND GPP
- Iheanacho – LEI – CASH AND GPP
- Tielemans – LEI
- Albrighton – LEI – CASH AND GPP
- M Phillips – WBA – CASH AND GPP
- Vardy – LEI
- Ndidi – LEI – CASH AND GPP
- Johnstone – WBA – CASH AND GPP
- Fofana – LEI
- Furlong – WBA – CASH AND GPP
- Diagne – WBA
- Townsend – WBA – CASH AND GPP