Duke’s EPL DFS Preview for Saturday’s three-game slate…
If you played Atalanta players (like I did), you have to send a nasty email to UEFA for the absolute shit show of a refereeing display we saw on Wednesday. The good news is there is always another slate right around the corner, and we’ll get back on the horse with EPL DFS on Saturday. Before we do, if you didn’t have a winning Wednesday, don’t simply write it off to a red card. Evaluate your build. How did your players in the other match perform? How was the ownership balance? If you were to receive median output from your players affected, would you have cashed?
Zapata and Muriel were both victims of the red card. Zapata was off nice and early, partly due to a thigh injury and partly to adjust the system. Muriel was leading a line solo for 60 minutes and was given a rest. Keep in mind, Atalanta were on the front foot before the ridiculous red card.
Win or lose, always be looking to improve!
To the desert…
EPL DFS GAME THOUGHTS
Big Sam is famous for the great escape, but this is looking like a sinking ship the whole season. The tough part about a Big Sam type of system is that it requires a clean sheet. We know they aren’t going to score a ton, so to get wins, they need to keep the clean sheet. Can they? That is the question every single game. They have only two wins on the season. One was a 1-0 win over another relegation side in Sheffield, and the other was a fluky 3-2 win over Wolves. At home against a bottom-half team is one of the only spots they can reasonably consider a win.
Brighton are in a weird spot where they aren’t showing any progress up the table, but those below them are faltering left and right. Historically, they do perform well against the bottom of the table, and this season is no different. They’ve played seven games against teams slated 15th or lower in the table and haven’t lost. The issue? They’ve only won one. Yep, six draws from seven matches. They are typically low-scoring, as well.
I do lean under here even though points are crucial for both teams.
What is the status of Jack Grealish? That’s the big question. We saw firsthand how important he is to the Villa attack against Leicester. While they made a second-half push, there was no one there to provide the killer pass, or perhaps, more importantly, hold the ball up to allow them to escape the defense. At home they were pinned back for large stretches of the match. If Grealish is back, this is a very interesting match with both sides creating dangerous chances. If he’s not, it could be one way traffic.
Leeds aren’t exactly consistent. It’s the same story every week. They looked great last time! They looked awful last time! It just depends on what week it is. Well, they look fantastic against Southampton midweek. They will be entering this game on two less days of rest. The injury list is piling up, and team news will be big. Raphinha and Bamford are in great form and could be the difference here.
Steve Bruce has to be on the hot seat. Newcastle are in a free fall to the relegation zone, and I don’t know what he’s going to do about it. Sure, Callum Wilson is a big player to lose, but my god, he’s not that good. The great news for Bruce is Saint-Maximin looks all the way back, and Almiron somehow finds the energy to pressure the back line. Defensively, they need to get Fernandez back fit. Clark and Lascelles are fine, but the fullbacks have been a big issue.
You can classify this season by Wolves about the same as you could the year 2020. It definitely happened. There were some good moments, but it was mostly bad. Enter 2021, and hopefully, things are off to a better start. They are for Wolves. They’ve won three of four and look to have sorted out the defensive issues that plagued their early matches. Jimenez and Boly are central to their success, and both will still miss this match. They’ve been finding goals in odd places, including an own goal in their last 1-0 win over Leeds.
This is the game I’ll likely have the least interest in for DFS, so it’s a blessing that it’s SAT afternoon.
EPL DFS PLAYS
- Gross – BHA – $9.3k Cash/GPP
- Raphinha – LEE – $10.7k Cash/GPP
- Saint-Maximin – NEW – $6.7k Cash/GPP
- Neto – WOL – $9.5k GPP
- Roberts – LEE – $5.7k GPP
- Bamford – LEE – $8.8k GPP
Others GPP: Maupay, B Traore, Watkins, Diagne
- Pereira – WBA – $9k Cash/GPP
- Veltman – BHA – $6.3k GPP
- Grealish – AVL – $10k Cash/GPP
- Harrison – LEE – $7k GPP
- Mac Allister – BHA – $5.3k GPP
- Moutinho – WOL – $5.7k Cash
- Willock – NEW – $4k GPP
Others GPP: Maitland-Niles
- Targett – AVL – $4.9k Cash/GPP
- Ayling – LEE – $4.8k GPP
- Struijk – LEE – $3.8k GPP
- Dendoncker – WOL – $3.9k GPP
- Burn – BHA – $3.9k Cash/GPP
- Saiss – WOL – $3.7k GPP
Others: Cheap Value
- Johnstone – ABS – $4.2k
- Meslier – LEE – $5k
- Darlow – NEW – $4.4k
- Martinez – AVL – $4.6k
Good luck!! New to DFS Soccer? Here’s an intro with Duke’s Rules & Strategies!