The Monster Mile. Drydene 400 is a 400 lap event and starts the 2nd round of playoffs where 12 drivers remain.
Drydene 400 DFS Breakdown
- Dover International Speedway
- Sunday 10/6/19 – 2:30 PM
- 1 mile, Concrete
Last Race Notables: Martin Truex, Jr. won.
- Laps Led – Elliott: 145, Truex Jr.: 132, Keselowski: 58, Suárez: 21, Bowman: 16
- Start/Finish – Truex 13/1, Jones 15/6, Kyle Busch 22/10, Buescher 30/23
Remember, number of laps sway the importance of scoring in different directions. Less laps = less laps led points and less fastest lap points, making place finish and place differential points a bit more valuable. Yes, you will still need the dominator, but it is less likely to have two or three of them and really separate them from the pack. I expect there to be two or three guys to get some significant laps led points this weekend.
Process: Let me give you guys a better idea of what we are doing here for NASCAR. We put out an early article with some track stats and what drivers I will have my eyes on, based on some numbers. Things can change once qualifying and practice are over. So then we put out an update with drivers who seem to be fast or have had a good or bad qualifying run. I put out a total of 12 drivers I like and a few who I am off. The guys I am off are typically guys who don’t run that well here and have qualified in a decent position.
I am trying to narrow things down for you. Too much information can just be confusing. If you need more information, you can look at the projections tab. Take a look at the scoring to better understand why I do it this way.
Drivers will accumulate points as follows:
- Place Differential = +/- 1 PTs (Where they start vs. where they finish…Start 20th, Finish 10th = 10 pts)
- Fastest Laps = +0.5 PTs
- Laps Led = +0.25 PTs
- Finishing Position Scoring (winner 46 pts, 2nd 42 pts, 3rd 41, 4th 40, 39, 38, 37, etc…)
- .1 pts for each lap completed
- Place Differential = +/- .5 PTs (Where they start vs. where they finish…Start 20th, Finish 10th = 5 pts)
- Fastest Laps = +0.5 PTs
- Laps Led = +0.1 PTs
- Finishing Position Scoring (winner 43 pts, 2nd 40 pts, 3rd 38, 4th 37, 36, 35, 34, etc…)
Let’s take a look at some of the track stats.
DRYDENE 400 DFS PICKS
Martin Truex, Jr. ($10,200) – Starting 3rd. Truex is hot right now, and I’m not gonna mess with that this weekend. He has won two of three playoff races, not to mention, he won here earlier in the year. Will be anchoring many lineups with Truex Sunday.
Chase Elliott ($9,800) – Starting 5th. Winning at the ROVAL. Someone had to! Chase is also hot like Truex, and not to mention, he runs the Monster Mile really well. In seven races here, he has six top 10’s, six top 5’s and a win.
Kyle Larson ($9,700) – Starting 2nd. Eight top 10’s, five top 5’s. Finished 3rd here earlier in the year.
Kyle Busch ($12,000) – Starting 18th. I just can’t NOT have Kyle in here. I get it, he has been a bit off, but that doesn’t negate how dominate he is and can be. Still a BEAST and a threat to win every weekend. Has won here three times.
Alex Bowman ($8,000) – Starting 12th. Finished 2nd here earlier in the year and in the playoff hunt. Bowman has made some great strides this year, and it will continue this weekend.
Ryan Newman ($7,900) – Starting 24th. Newman has a lot of experience here at Dover. In 35 races here, he has 14 top 10’s, seven top 5’s and three wins. I think we are going to see some good things from Newman as he gets more comfortable with Roush racing.
Clint Bowyer ($8,600) – Starting 17th. If he doesn’t wreck, he should be in good shape. 9th, 2nd and 6th with Stewart Haas when he hasn’t wrecked in his last five here. So there is some risk.
Matt DiBenedetto ($7,700) – Starting 20th. Still racing to impress. Good equipment. I like a solid run this weekend. Say a 10th or so. Seems like a safe play in a good car and fast in practice.
- Will throw a few J. Johnsons in here. Lot’s of speed so far in practice. A Champion, if in the right car, could win. Will be my sleeper to win this weekend!
Daniel Suárez ($7,300) – Starting 15th. Four top 10’s, one top 5 here in five races. Pretty solid at this price point. Safe low end cash play.
Aric Almirola ($7,500) – Starting 7th. Finished 16th, 13th and 11th in his last three here. Price drop. Buy low. Three top 10’s and two top 5’s here at the Magic Mile. Out of the playoffs, but should have a nice run on Sunday.
Austin Dillon ($6,900) – Starting 27th. Just a rough year. Golden boy, racing for pride here. Numerous finishes in the teens and two top 10’s at the Magic Mile. Showing a little speed in practice.
Wreckin Ricky ($6,300) – Starting 19th. Numerous finishes in the teens. Two top 10’s. If he doesn’t wreck, he could have a nice run here on Sunday.
DRYDENE 400 PICKS TO WIN
- Martin Truex, Jr.
- Chase Elliott
- Kyle Busch
- Sleeper – Jimmie Johnson
Last race predictions: ROVAL 400
As usual, if you have any questions, hit me up on twitter @trmp31.