Today’s breakdown is for the two (2) game CS:GO slate that is centered on the Blast Premier Best of 3 matches. Keep in mind, roster lock is going to be 10:30 AM ET/7:30 AM PT.
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Today’s slate is going to be a little different because we only have two games to dissect. The winner of the FaZe/Team Vitality match will go on to face the winner of the Winners Bracket, Complexity, immediately after.
Remember, if you’re looking to follow each contest live, you can watch all of the BLAST Premier contests by going to https://www.twitch.tv/blastpremier.
The stakes are super high as both the European and North American BLAST Premier Spring 2020 champions will be crowned today. Again, the winner of FaZe/Team Vitality aren’t going to automatically be crowned champions. They simply earn the spot in the Grand Final against Complexity.
Regardless, both of these matches are going to feature rematches from meetings that occurred within the last week. FaZe defeated Vitality 2-0 while MIBR squeaked by Evil Geniuses 2-1 with the 3rd map going into Overtime.
Remember, for 2 game slates, you’re going to want to either do the 3-3 stack or a 3-2-1 stack. The general idea is if you think both games are going to end in 2-0 sweeps, you probably need to go with 3-3 stacks (with the winner of both matches). If you think there’s a reasonable chance a third map is going to be played, then 3-2-1 stacks are probably a better option.
With that in mind, you’ve got to assume that a third map is a strong likelihood in both matches. Yes, FaZe swept Vitality a few days ago, but I do think Vitality are going to make some key changes to give them a chance at stealing it today.
FaZe (-125) vs. Team Vitality
Likely Bans: Train and Vertigo
Map Guesses: Dust2 and Overpass
FaZe had a very convincing victory over Vitality a few days ago, but my guess is that the extra preparation should do wonders for Vitality (similar to how BiG were able to overcome G2 last week). Vitality definitely struggled on Nuke, which should have been a good situation for them, but FaZe has actually looked rock solid on the popular map in their previous match against ENCE and dominant at times against Vitality. They were a little bit exposed yesterday against Complexity, and it’s possible that Vitality may be able to overcome their weaknesses if Nuke really is chosen again.
But NAH, I think they’re going to select Overpass, which they completely humiliated NaVi on yesterday. Overpass is going to be rough for FaZe if it’s chosen. They’ve only played on Overpass two times since Bymas joined the five man squad, and haven’t played on it. My guess is that they’re going to prepare for it being chosen, but preparing for it, and then executing it against a team that completely overwhelmed one of the top teams in the world on it just one day ago is entirely different.
FaZe are rightful favorites and should continue to be led by NiKo who may have ownership slightly down due to people wanting to roster ZywOo. My preference for this one is NiKo over ZywOo, but there’s plenty of merit in playing both or getting exposure to both if you’re doing multiple lineups. My rankings for FaZe are actually NiKo, coldzera, broky, Bymas, and rain. Rain would normally be more popular than Bymas, but I think Bymas gets an edge, largely because rain probably doesn’t get to play on one of his better maps in Nuke.
For Vitality, they got great performances out of shox and apEX, who both had been struggling in their recent matches, but something’s definitely catching my eye about apEX. When you watch the streams, you can tell the guy is super emotional. I think if he gains momentum, he has the ability to win GPPs like he did for many people in Saturday’s slate. The only problem is that I don’t necessarily think these map choices are the best for him, but his play certainly warrants consideration for your lineups.
Captain Options: NiKo, broky, coldzera, ZywOo, shox
Cash Game Options (ranked): NiKo, ZywOo, coldzera, shox, broky, apEX
MIBR (-130) vs. Evil Geniuses
Likely Bans: Nuke and Vertigo
Map Guesses: Train and Inferno
Well, Evil Geniuses making the comeback on Inferno and Train yesterday basically cost me another $10k win, but I can’t be complaining considering some of the lucky stuff that has helped me take down tournaments leading up to it. EG is in very good form and have been resilient in basically every match they’ve been in, EXCEPT, their match against MIBR. MIBR still reeks of shadiness to me, but I think they have a very talented lineup, and I do like their addition of trk over meyern.
To me, this match is the toss up of tossups, but it’s to the point where I wouldn’t be shocked if either team gets a 2-0 sweep. Both of the likely map choices are maps that both teams are very comfortable on, and both of them tend to pick either of them as their own map choice. With that said, if I’m taking in consideration recent play on both of these maps, the top plays here are just about a coinflip, and that’s kNgV- and Brehze. Recent form also gives a lot of merit in playing CeRq and Ethan.
All in all, if I’m ranking everyone on MIBR, it’s kNgV-, fallen, fer, trk, TACO and if I’m ranking everyone on EG, it’s Brehze, Ethan, CeRq, tarik, and stanislaw.
Captain Options: FalleN, fer, kNgV-, CeRq, Brehze, Ethan
Cash Game Options (ranked): kNgV-, Brehze, Ethan, CeRq, FalleN, fer, trk