Dixie Vodka 400 DFS Picks | NASCAR Cup Series

Trevor Marcotte gets you ready for the Dixie Vodka 400 DFS Slate!
Top NASCAR Daily Fantasy Picks for DraftKings, FanDuel

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DIXIE VODKA 400 QUICK FACTS

• Homestead-Miami Speedway
• Sunday 2/28/2021 – 3:30 PM
• 1.5-mile Paved Track

Let’s stay hot here in Florida. This is a 267 lap event.

Last Race Notables: Denny Hamlin won

• Laps Led – Hamlin: 137, Ryan Blaney: 70, Joey Logano and Chase Elliott: 27
• Start/Finish – Logano 11/3, Tyler Reddick 24/4, Aric Almirola 21/5, Austin Dillon 16/7, Christopher Bell 36/8, William Byron 22/9, Matt DiBenedetto 23/14, Michael McDowell 30/15, Cole Custer 35/22, Ryan Preece 33/24

Remember, the number of laps sway the importance of scoring in different directions. Fewer laps = fewer laps led points and fewer fastest lap points, making place finish and place differential points a bit more valuable. Yes, you will still need the dominator, but there is less likely of a chance to have two or three of them and really separate them from the pack. I expect there to be two or three guys to get some significant laps-led points this weekend, unlike last year, where Harvick got them all.

NASCAR DFS PROCESS

Let me give you guys a better idea of what we are doing here for NASCAR. We put out an early article with some track stats and what drivers to target, based on the numbers. Things can change once qualifying and practice are over. So, then we put out the final DFS picks article (which you’re reading) with drivers who seem to be fast or have had a good or bad qualifying run. I put out a total of 12 drivers I like and a few who I am off. The guys I am off are typically guys who don’t run that well here and have qualified in a decent position.

I am trying to narrow things down for you. Too much information can just be confusing. If you need more information, you can look at the projections tab and my cheat sheet. Take a look at the scoring to better understand why I do it this way.

Point Scoring

Drivers will accumulate points as follows:

DK Scoring

• Place Differential = +/- 1 PTs (Where they start vs. where they finish….start 20^th, finish 10^th = 10 pts)
• Fastest Laps = +0.5 PTs
• Laps Led = +0.25 PTs
• Finishing Position Scoring (Winner 46 pts, 2^nd 42 pts, 3^rd 41, 4^th 40, 39, 38, 37, etc…)

FD Scoring

• 0.1 PTs for each lap completed
• Place Differential = +/- 0.5 PTs (Where they start vs. where they finish….start 20^th, finish 10^th = 5 pts)
• Fastest Laps = +0.5 PTs
• Laps Led = +0.1 PTs
• Finishing Position Scoring (Winner 43 pts, 2^nd 40 pts, 3^rd 38, 4^th 37, 36, 35, 34, etc…)

Track Stats

Let’s take a look at some of the track stats.

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DIXIE VODKA 400 DFS PICKS

Top Tier

Kyle Busch ($11,800) – Starting 24^th. I really like Kyle this weekend. Lots of bad luck last year. Don’t think he will be that popular. He is one of the best. Nine top 10’s, five top 5’s and two wins here at Homestead.

Martin Truex Jr. ($11,400) – Starting 9^th. Truex is a 1.5-mile track beast. He has 10 top 10’s, six top 5’s and a win here at Homestead.

Denny Hamlin ($9,600) – Starting 1^st. Can you say discount? I mean, for this price point, I love Hamlin on Sunday. Not to mention his 11 top 10’s, five top 5’s and three wins here at Homestead.

Kevin Harvick ($10,100) – Starting 4^th. 17 TOP 10’s, 11 top 5’s and one win here at Homestead. Discounts on both him and Hamlin this weekend. Starting the year off in Harvick fashion: 6^th and 4^th so far this year.

Mid-Tier

Tyler Reddick ($8,500) – Starting 35^th. Solid cash play. Great starting position for a guy who should be fast on Sunday. He finished 4^th here last year.

Joey Logano ($8,400) – Starting 25^th. Six top 10’s, four top 5’s and a win here at Homestead. Nice discount for a top driver and threat to win almost every week. Finished 2^nd and 12^th so far this year.

Christopher Bell ($7,600) – Starting 3^rd. Coming off his first career win last week. Bell, a stud in Xfinity, will be in a fast car. The question is, what can he do with it? Some risk due to starting position, but I think he is in for a great run on Sunday.

Matt DiBenedetto ($8,800) – Starting 37^th. Safe starting position play. DiBenedetto finished 14^th here last year.

Sleepers

Chase Briscoe ($7,200) – Starting 30^th. Great starting position on a great team. Rookie risk, but Chase is a great driver and should be able to move up the field.

Ross Chastain ($7,400) – Starting 32^nd. See Briscoe. Same.

Ryan Newman ($6,900) – Starting 15^th. Vet. Nice price point. Consistent driver. Newman finished 7^th here in 2019. Six top 10’s, two top 5’s in his career here at Homestead.

Bubba Wallace ($7,500) – Starting 19^th. Finished 13^th here last year. Running a Michael Jordan owned car and upgrade from last year. Bubba always has some risk but should have a fast car.

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DIXIE VODKA 400 PICKS TO WIN

• Kyle Busch
• Ryan Blaney
• Kevin Harvick

As usual, if you have any questions, hit me up on Twitter, @trmp31.