Welcome to the DFS NFL Cash Game Breakdown, where Jeff Mans breaks down everything you need to know to build safe, high-floor lineups.
SUNDAY MORNING UPDATE
Core 4 remains intact but we are considering moving up from Cam Newton on FANDUEL only. We have a lot of $ left over and Brees, Rodgers & even Wilson are all within range. Ted will be in chat in the morning to inform you of any changes.
ADDED TO PLAYER POOL: Boston Scott, RB, Eagles (1.7x/$4700/$4800)
So, anything interesting happen while we were away?
I tell the story all of the time but feel compelled to do it again in this space. When all of the coronavirus shit was originally hitting the fan back in March, there were no guarantees that this day would come. When all of sports were shutting down, it threatened our staff, our business and our sanctuary here at Elite Sports to our very core. I asked the team what they thought we should do? It was these talks that we had when I realized the real dedication of our team.
We went back to work. When baseball, basketball and most other sports were bickering over percentages of pay, our focus turned to one goal. That was getting everything in order to put together the best NFL season coverage we have ever done. For those that got our Draft Guide over on Fantasy Guru, you already know. This was the best set of content and tools that I have ever seen assembled in the fantasy space. That is what happens when you spend every single moment of your isolation in quarantine from a global pandemic to prepare.
It’s no different here on the DFS side. We’ve been building this season just about every day since the Chiefs hoisted the Vince Lombardi Trophy back in February. You are going to notice a lot of things this NFL season that are the same around here. You are going to notice a lot of things that have changed around here, as well. I want every single one of you to know that every single step we’ve taken in getting our NFL products ready has been done with YOU in mind.
In a time where there are so many distractions coming in from all different directions, it is my extreme focus to make sure Elite Sports is all you. We aren’t a political company. We aren’t a medical advice company. We aren’t a social justice company. We are a sports company. We are here to provide all of you an escape from the craziness of the outside world. I realize that sports leagues are trying to dive into the political, medical and social justice fields, but that is just not us. I am here to help you win money in daily fantasy football and/or to blame when you do not. I wear this badge with honor and can promise each of you that no matter what happens from now through January, I will be alongside.
For those of you who are new to Elite Fantasy and/or the Cash Game Breakdown, get used to these kinds of introductions. I use this space to get whatever it is I am feeling off of my chest or to convey a message to the group. But if you are new to the site or even if you are old, you might be wondering what the actual plan is for this DFS NFL season. Well, here is what you can expect on a daily basis here at Elite Fantasy:
Monday – Lineup Review with CJ Kaltenbach
Tuesday – QB Coach with Vlad Sedler
Wednesday – RB Coach with Ted Schuster
Thursday – WR Coach with Tyler Buecher
Thursday Night – Primetime Livestream – Hosted by Benny Ricciardi & Brian Healy
Friday – TE Coach with Thad Houston
Friday Night – Core 4 NFL Livestream with Jeff Mans & Guests (Hey, that’s ME!)
Saturday – DST Coach with Scott Bondar
Saturday Night – Lineup Coaching with Jeff Mans (Hey, that’s me AGAIN!)
Sunday – NFL Sunday Livestream with Ricky Sanders & CJ Kaltenbach (11am ET)
Sunday Kickoff Chat – Lineup lock chat with Ted Schuster (11:30am ET)
Now, let’s address the elephant in the room. There are a few brand new faces here this season and a few old faces who are not. I’ve addressed this in Podcast form in my One Mans Opinion Podcast but will do so here, as well. I don’t believe in talking smack about people behind their backs no matter how much I have to say or the anger I feel towards them. I will simply say our new staff members, including Ricky Sanders, CJ Kaltenbach (Seige!) and Louis Cangiano, care as much (or more) about YOUR DFS success as their own. That is a commitment we are hell-bent on here now, and I can personally promise we will never go back to the old way. There is a reason we bring in nothing but winners here to Elite Fantasy and why those winners fall off when they are gone. This is a winning environment, and that goes from the analysts to every last subscriber.
What about Tommy G? Tommy is no longer with the company. As many of you know, he has gotten heavy into politics and conspiracy theories. I talk to Tommy all of the time, and he remains a dear friend. That will not change. But we are a sports company, and that has to remain our focus. So, who will replace him on the Livestream and GPP Breakdown? I addressed this already on the Friday Night Livestream, but in case you missed it, here is the plan. Just as Elite Sports is now a TEAM effort, so will be the Livestream. I will host the program but will bring in several of our analysts throughout the show to give their perspectives and breakdowns. This show is going to be much more interactive and actionable going forward, and if the first episode was any indication, you all will love the new format.
One more item I need to address, and that is a change in terms of my primary DFS site. As listeners of the Elite Sports Show on SiriusXM heard this week, I am taking my talents (or lack thereof) to SuperDraft this season. I will continue to support and play on both Fanduel and DraftKings, but after a lot of soul searching this offseason, I just didn’t feel good about giving all of you advice for a DFS site that allows 40 entries out of a 100 person cash game to have the exact same lineup. Will that continue in 2020? I believe it will, which is why I am launching a preemptive strike. SuperDraft took care of us in a big way late last season, and in those talks, they expressed a deep desire to accommodate the REAL DFS players out there and not just feed the sharks. This sentiment means a lot to me, especially at this stage of my career. I’ve grown sick of playing somebody else’s game. I strongly believe we can get a much fairer shake over on SuperDraft this season and at the very least have a group of people who will LISTEN to their players and customers. After announcing it this week, I’ve already been in contact with SuperDraft about ideas for improving their DFS NFL product. As long as we get a fair shake and their money stays green, you can consider this my home for 2020.
So, that is that. We have all been through hell for most of 2020, but as the great poet Rocky Balboa once said, “I didn’t hear no bell.” I’ve never been this prepared for an NFL season. We’ve never had this dedicated of a staff. The DFS world has never needed a disrupting as much as it does right now. Let’s bring it right to them. Let’s start this week. LET’S GOOOOOOOOOO!!!!!
Here is the DFS NFL Cash Game Breakdown for Week 1:
Cleveland Browns at Baltimore Ravens – High humidity and light rain in Baltimore may hurt Phil Backert’s pregame tailgate in an empty Lot H but shouldn’t have a big impact on this game too much.
New York Jets at Buffalo Bills – Some light rain is projected for this game but nothing too bad. Temps will be in the mid-60’s and winds around 12 MPH out of the west.
|NAME||TEAM||OPP||DVOA TOTAL||DVOA PASS||DEF VS QB||TOTAL OLINE||PASS OLINE||TIME TO THRW||PACE||ATTS PG||INT AIR YDS||CMP AIR YDS|
WEEK 1 DFS NFL QB BREAKDOWN
Russell Wilson, Seahawks (1.35x/$8400/$7000) – Over the last three years, no QB has more fantasy points than Russell Wilson. He is a regular cash game staple for us and that doesn’t change in week one of 2020. The last four times these two teams played, they have averaged a total of 54.5 points. In those games, Wilson has averaged 20.5 fantasy points per game. If you haven’t noticed, this Falcons defense and specifically the secondary is in terrible shape. They lost both starting cornerbacks this offseason and their top pass rusher. Wilson will have little resistance in attaining our 20+ point goal with a ton of upside should he find room running the ball this week.
Cam Newton, Patriots (2x/$7300/$6100) – Boy do we love the early pricing in week one. Cam is a crazy discount this week as if he was still with the Panthers and they were playing the Raiders at home or something. But he is now under the Patriots umbrella where head coach Bill Belichick and offensive coordinator Josh McDaniels have customized an offense around his skills. It’s the first time in his career that he has had this level of coaching and the sky is literally the limit for him now. The Dolphins are improved defensively but “improved” like a second graders art drawing is better than the first graders. It’s still pretty terrible and the Patriots are going to exploit that all day. A 2x multiplier on SuperDraft is so pure that he will likely be the highest owned QB of the slate.
Aaron Rodgers, Packers (1.4x/$7500/$6300) – We have such a big advantage over the field entering week one that it’s almost silly. Of course, that doesn’t guarantee us a winning week, but it’s still a hell of a good feeling. I bring this up because most of the DFS world still thinks that the Minnesota Vikings have a solid if not above-average defense. Well, they don’t. Their entire secondary was paved over with the exception of SS Harrison Smith. Three inexperienced CB’s excites Aaron Rodgers more than any naked woman could. The only concern that I have here is that the Packers might blow out the Vikings but even in that situation, Rodgers is good for the 18+ points we need out of him at this price point.
Drew Brees, Saints (1.25/$8100/$6800) – Though we want this game to blow up, both of these defenses are better than Vegas is giving credit for. Still, it’s going to be nice to see Brees with new weapon Emmanuel Sanders against a well below average Tampa Bay secondary. It will be tough to run against the Bucs again this year so that will lead to more pass attempts by Brees. Last year against the Bucs he tossed three touchdowns in a 34-17 thumping. This time around Tampa will likely be able to keep pace driving up the totals for Brees and company.
Don’t Forget About…
Philip Rivers, Colts (1.65x/$7100/$6000) – Making his Indianapolis debut, Rivers draws the worst team in the NFL in the Jaguars. Rivers has absolutely smashed the Jaguars throughout his career even when they had a great defense. Last season in Jacksonville, he threw for 314 yards and 3 TD’s in just 22 pass attempts. This Indianapolis offensive line will give Rivers much more time than the Chargers line did last season and this Jacksonville defense is a shell of its 2019 self.
Favorite GPP Play…
Tyrod Taylor, Chargers (1.8x/$7000/$5600) – Another example of picking on an inferior opponent. The Chargers majorly upgraded their offensive line this offseason and still possesses a wealth of skill-position talent. Tyrod is a true dual-threat QB that can make defenses pay both with his legs and with his arm. He is the kind of QB that you want in the large tournament scene and since few realize just how good this Chargers team is this year, Taylor will be lower owned than he should be.
|NAME||TEAM||OPP||DVOA TOTAL||DVOA RUSH||DEF VS RB||TOTAL OLINE||RUSH OLINE||EVADED TKLS||BRKWYS||OPP SHARE||RZ TOUCH||GZ TOUCH|
O-LINE/D-LINE MATCHUPS (Mans Model – Point System Scale of 0 – 100)
- Indianapolis Colts → Jacksonville Jaguars – 42
- San Francisco 49ers → Arizona Cardinals – 27
- Buffalo Bills → New York Jets – 20
- Los Angeles Chargers → Cincinnati Bengals – 18
- Las Vegas Raiders → Carolina Panthers – 13
WEEK 1 DFS NFL RB BREAKDOWN
Josh Jacobs, Raiders (1.5x/$8200/$6800) – I wasn’t a big fan of Jacobs during the draft season but we love him here in this spot. The Raiders got RT Trent Brown back, which is a big deal for an offensive line that finished fifth in adjusted line yards a year ago. Jon Gruden claimed to want to get Jacobs the ball more in the passing game and he worked hard on his pass catching during camp this year. My projection is based on him receiving just one target this week so anything he can add in the receiving game is gravy for his cash game value. Even though the Panthers used their first-round pick to take DT Derrick Brown, this is a team that finished dead last in the league in DVOA against the run and now lost DT Gerald McCoy, DT Dontari Poe & MLB Luke Kuechly. The Raiders should be able to score at will on what likely will be the worst defense in the NFL this season.
Zack Moss, Bills (2x/$4700/$4400) – Here is your super value RB for week one right here. The Bills paid a premium to take Moss in the third round of the draft because they felt that he could be the thunder complement to Devin Singletary’s lightning. Then, throughout training camp, Moss showed he can be both the thunder and the lightning for the Bills. Moss will get the start and likely the majority of touches behind one of the better offensive lines in the league. The Bills ran the ball 45 times in two games against the Jets last year and 202 yards. The Jets lost DE Leonard Williams and LB CJ Mosely this offseason and will have a real tough time limiting the rookie RB this week.
Austin Ekeler, Chargers (1.4x/$7700/$7000) – I had figured either rookie RB Josh Kelley and/or Justin Jackson would challenge Ekeler for early-down work during training camp, but that never happened. In fact, Ekeler grew even deeper roots to being the full-on feature RB for LA this season. He will start the game, carry the ball on early downs, be the passing down back and the goal line back. The Chargers upgraded their offensive line this offseason by acquiring RT Bryan Bulaga and RG Trai Turner. They also have starting center Mike Pouncey healthy, which doesn’t happen very often either. Ekeler is in an elite spot against an inferior opponent for a near mid-term price. We can build around him in cash or GPP this week and be very happy with the return. UPDATE: Pouncey is OUT and both Bulaga and Turner are QUESTIONABLE. I am still in on Ekeler but have moved him below Jacobs now.
Marlon Mack, Colts (1.5x/$6100/$5300) – Yeah that is right, Mack is a cash game play this week at this price point. We all know that Jonathan Taylor will eventually unseat Mack as the starter in Indianapolis but that isn’t happening this week. In two games against a much better Jacksonville defense last year, Mack racked up 183 rushing yards and 36.6 fantasy points. He will be the first to carry the rock this week and will get the early goal line touches as well. I have no doubt that Taylor will get on the field and likely produce as well but locking in this fantastic matchup against one of the worst defenses in the NFL at a mid-tier level is just too good. Don’t try and be the hero use the first RB on the field in cash, take your production and cash your tickets.
Don’t Forget About…
Aaron Jones, Packers (1.15x/$7800/$6900) – I have been very vocal about the Packers winning this game outright and how bad the Vikings defense will be this season. The loss of DT Linval Joseph creates a sinkhole in the middle of the Vikings offensive line that Ted Schuster would be able to run through. Last season, Jones carved up a much better Vikings defense to the tune of 46-270-3 rushing, 9-6-40-0 receiving and a total of 55 fantasy points over two games. This is a very positive game script for him and nobody seems to see it that way. I don’t love the Superdraft 1.15x multiplier on him so this is more of a salary cap play only.
Favorite GPP Play…
Todd Gurley, Falcons (1.4x/$7100/$6100) – Everybody loves the Seattle/Atlanta game stack and ownership of all of the QB’s and WR’s will be super high. Meanwhile, the fantasy community continues to hate on Todd Gurley because of his degenerative knee that will have zero impact on this game. Gurley could easily get into the box multiple times in this high scoring affair. With nobody else to share the backfield with, Gurley becomes script proof too and could see a real high number of targets as the Seahawks defense clamps down on the duo of Julio Jones and Calvin Ridley.
|NAME||TEAM||OPP||DVOA TOTAL||DVOA PASS||DEF VS WR||PASS CVG||TGT SHARE||AIR YD SHARE||ADOT||CATCH%||SEPERATION||FPTS PER TGT|
|Laviska Shenault Jr.||JAX||MIN||12.0||13.0||42.7||18.0||0.00||0.11||0.00||0.74||4.00||0.00|
|Odell Beckham Jr.||CLE||TEN||28.0||27.0||40.8||5.0||0.00||0.38||0.00||0.55||2.70||0.00|
WR/CB MATCHUPS (BASED ON PFF RATINGS – % Rating Difference 2019)
- Chris Godwin, Buccaneers → PJ Williams, Saints – 74% (PJ is unfortunately not starting anymore)
- DeSean Jackson, Eagles → Fabian Moreau, Potatoes – 51%
- Kenny Golladay, Lions → Jaylon Johnson, Bears – 44% (Golladay is doubtful, whoops!)
- Michael Thomas, Saints → Jamel Dean, Buccaneers – 42%
- Mike Evans, Buccaneers → Marshon Lattimore, Saints – 40% (Evans is doubtful, double whoops!)
- Terry McLaurin, Potatoes → Avonte Maddox, Eagles – 36% (Darius Slay is going to shadow)
- DJ Moore, Panthers → Damon Arnette, Raiders – 32%
- Julio Jones, Falcons → Quinton Dunbar, Seahawks – 29%
- Marvin Jones, Lions → Kyle Fuller, Bears – 27%
- Kendrick Bourne, 49ers → Byron Murphy, Cardinals – 25%
WORST COVERAGE CORNERBACKS – WR MATCHUP (Mans Model)
- Corey Ballentine, Giants → Diontae Johnson, Steelers
- Ronald Darby, Potatoes → JJ Arcega-Whiteside, Eagles
- Darius Phillips, Bengals → Jalen Guyton, Chargers
- Donte Jackson, Panthers → Bryan Edwards, Raiders
- Pierre Desir, Jets → Stefon Diggs, Bills
- Byron Murphy, Cardinals → Trent Taylor, 49ers
- Rasul Douglas, Panthers → Henry Ruggs III, Raiders
- Holton Hill, Vikings → Davante Adams, Packers
- Damon Arnette, Raiders → DJ Moore, Panthers
- AJ Terrell, Falcons → Phillip Dorsett, Seahawks
- Carlton Davis, Buccaneers → Michael Thomas, Saints
WEEK 1 DFS NFL WR BREAKDOWN
Davante Adams, Packers (1.1x/$8000/$7300) – Not an ideal multiplier WR but he is the absolute #1 overall WR on my board in this matchup. He has the best CB matchup on the board and doesn’t share many targets with fellow Packers WR’s. In two games against the Vikings last year, he racked up a 25-20-222-0 stat line. That was against much better cornerbacks too as the Vikings purged ¾ of their starting secondary this offseason.
DK Metcalf, Seahawks (1.55x/$6400/$5800) – This is an absolute no brainer this week, as we aim to get an investment or two in the second-highest projected total of the slate. Metcalf came on strong at the end of 2019, racking up a 26-17-300-2 stat line in the Seahawks last three games. Two of these were playoff games in which it was obvious that Metcalf was becoming Russell Wilson’s go-to receiver. The issue with Metcalf coming into the league as a rookie was his ability to catch the ball with his hands. He made tremendous progress with this in the second half and is now a hulking 6’4”, 230 lbs, 40” vertical leaping WR. He is setting out on a journey to become one of the best receivers in the NFL, so lock him in at this mid-tier price while you can because it isn’t going to last long.
Chris Godwin, Buccaneers (1.3x/$7700/$7100) – The highest projected total of the slate and a game that could easily reach 60 points between these two potent offenses. Mike Evans is doubtful leaving a ton of targets to Godwin who will work primarily in the slot. It is unclear at this time if Marshon Lattimore will shadow him inside but he normally stays on outside receivers instead. To be Tom Brady’s slot receiver, without the #1 outside receiver playing, in a high expected total game is about as good as it gets in DFS. We are also getting a just above mid-tier price on him which is almost too good to be true. I have Scotty Miller also exceeding his baseline this week by a ton but he just isn’t cash game viable yet.
Stefon Diggs, Bills (1.55x/$6600/$6400) – If you would have asked me three weeks ago to name one “bigger named” WR that would NEVER be in my Cash Game Breakdown I would have easily answered with Stefon Diggs. But here we are in week one where Diggs draws one of the best CB matchups in Pierre Desir against a secondary that lost their entire soul in Jamal Adams this offseason. Diggs isn’t going to be a consistent producer this year mostly because of his erratic QB Josh Allen. But this week he has his highest floor of the season to go along with a big upside.
Emmanuel Sanders, Saints (1.7x/$5600/$5700) – We all know Michael Thomas is a stud and thus every defensive coordinator in the league has spent the offseason devising a plan to slow him down. Thomas is going to see shadow coverage by Carlton Davis as well as safety bracketing all afternoon. This will leave single coverage for Sanders against the worst CB’s on the Bucs defense in Jamel Dean and Sean Murphy-Bunting. This duo allowed the third-most fantasy points to perimeter receivers a year ago. If this game goes according to script, we will see 40+ pass attempts easily by Drew Brees and Emmanuel Sanders will receive a very high percentage of those.
Marvin Jones, Lions (1.8x/$6200/$5500) – Jones wasn’t on the cash game radar before the injury to Kenny Golladay, but now that Golladay is doubtful for Sunday’s game, Jones’ value rises significantly. Matthew Stafford is back under center for Detroit and will have to make do with his weapons not named Kenny Golladay. Jones is a very dangerous receiver for a defense. He is a great mixture of size and speed even at 30 years old. Jones has always been a lethal red zone threat his entire career, as his nine TD’s last year with terrible QB play would attest. This week as Stafford’s top receiver against a defense that lost its top corner from a year ago, Jones should see a nice safe floor to accompany his massive TD upside.
Don’t Forget About…
Allen Robinson, Bears (1.35x/$7200/$6500) – As you can see, there are a ton of WR’s that qualify over our cash game projection line for week one. I could easily have Keenan Allen in this spot and it would be warranted. But I am mentioning A-Rob because I am seeing that he is flying under the radar a ton this week. As bad as Mitch Trubisky was last year, he still pumped the ball to Robinson at a 29.6% rate, which was fourth-best in the NFL last season. If we expect the Lions to score on this Bears defense, which I do, then bringing it back with a Bears weapon is only natural. What is best here is that the Lions are planning on lining up rookie Jeff Okudah opposite A-Rob, which would be a field day for the veteran wideout.
Favorite GPP Play…
Marquise Brown, Ravens (1.7x/$5900/$5100) – I have a feeling that I will be writing Marquise “Hollywood What’s Your Dream” Brown’s name in this space frequently in 2020. I don’t think there is a better big-play receiver in the entire NFL at this point and being Lamar Jackson’s go-to receiver is a nice badge to have as well. Remember that as a rookie last year in week one he took just five targets and caught four passes for 147 yards and two touchdowns. The Browns secondary is pretty damn good when healthy, which they are not. The Browns are without CB Greedy Williams, CB Kevin Johnson, and could be without CB MJ Stewart on Sunday, as well. That is not good when you’re facing electric playmakers like Lamar Jackson and Marquise Brown.
|NAME||TEAM||OPP||DVOA TOTAL||DEF VS TE||SLOT%||TGT SHARE||AIR YD SHARE||ADOT||CATCH%||SEPERATION||FPTS PER TGT|
WEEK 1 DFS NFL TE BREAKDOWN
George Kittle, 49ers (1.05x/$8000/$7200) – Let’s get this straight right at the start of the season. The Cardinals are not going to be as bad against the TE as they were last year. The presence of first-round draft pick, LB/S Isaiah Simmons will slow that roll considerably. Still, Kittle is one of the best TE’s in the NFL and we can’t deny that he will get a ton of targets for the 49ers who are without many of their receiving options for this week. There is enough value at the RB/WR positions here to pay all of the way up for Kittle so he is definitely in play for us this week.
Darren Waller, Raiders (1.35x/$6800/$5900) – The Panthers lost safety Eric Reid this offseason and have one of the least experienced and talented secondaries in the NFL. Waller is coming off of a 90-catch, 1100-yard performance and is the most experienced pass catcher at Derek Carr’s disposal this week.
Hunter Henry, Chargers ($1.45x/$6000/$5300) – During his three seasons as a starting QB, Tyrod Taylor featured an 18.2% target share to the TE position, which would rank 7th in the NFL over the last 10 years. I think that Henry was being discounted too much in seasonal drafts this year, and he gets a dime of a matchup here against the Cincinnati Bengals. The Bengals are notorious for surrendering fantasy points to TE’s, and this year’s version doesn’t appear much better.
Jack Doyle, Colts (1.5x/$5300/$3600) – Another TE that was a tremendous value in our seasonal leagues and is severely underpriced this week in DFS. Not only is Eric Ebron gone but fellow TE Trey Burton is out injured this week as well. That leaves Doyle to generate even more targets and specifically red zone targets that had been going to Ebron over the last two seasons. Philip Rivers has the highest target share to the TE position among starting QB’s with at least 1000 career passes. Many of our lineup builds will be searching for a value TE and Doyle is the best of them here in week one.
Don’t Forget About…
Zach Ertz, Eagles (1.3x/$6600/$5800) – Week one is really shaping up just like our seasonal fantasy drafts this summer, specifically from the TE perspective. Ertz is a super-elite level TE yet was discounted in drafts due to the prospective ascension of backup TE Dallas Goedert. But make no mistake, Ertz will see a ton of targets this week especially with the Eagles receivers so banged up. I don’t mind using Goedert as a contrarian play in GPP, but we are getting an elite TE for a mid-tier price here with Ertz. Don’t overthink it.
Favorite GPP Play…
Jimmy Graham, Bears (1.65x/$5000/$3800) – He’s a shell of his former self but Graham has had a tremendous camp with the Bears and new offensive coordinator Bill Lazor has stressed the need to use the TE position in the passing game more this season. I really would have liked him if Nick Foles had won the starting job but since it will be Mitch Trubisky under center for the Bears, my expectations are low. The Lions got rid of their TE stopper at the trade deadline last year and really haven’t added any viable solutions here in 2020. I have the Lions projected as one of the worst teams against the TE this year and if that is to happen, it likely gets started here by Jimmy Graham.
Indianapolis Colts (NA/$3700/$3000) – By far the best price per dollar DST on the market this week. The Colts made significant upgrades to their defense this offseason, bringing in DT DeForest Buckner, CB Xavier Rhodes and CB TJ Carrie. A healthy Darius Leonard and Justin Houston are among the best pass rushers in the NFL and the Jacksonville offensive line has absolutely no chance slowing them down.
Buffalo Bills (NA/$4700/$3700) – A safe defense that you will have to pay for this week. Last season the Buffalo defense allowed just 21 total points to the Jets in two games and racked up 19 fantasy points in the process. While the Jets did improve their offensive line, this is an offense that is very much depleted of any skill position threats.
Los Angeles Chargers (NA/$4200/$2800) – Before safety Derwin James tore his meniscus during the last week of training camp, the Chargers would have been my number one sleeper defense this year. Without James, they drop behind the Colts but only by a little. They brought in a run stopper in former Vikings DT Linval Joseph, a sideline to sideline tackle monster in first-round pick Kenneth Murray and shutdown cornerback, Chris Harris Jr. This unit now has a ton of depth not to mention two of the best pass rushers in the NFL in Joey Bosa and Melvin Ingram. This will be a real tough task for rookie QB Joe Burrow and the Bengals to contend with this week.
New England Patriots (NA/$4600/$3200) – We are getting a significant discount on the Patriots defense this week because the narrative is that they lost so many of their defenders to opt-outs. While New England did lose three starters on defense, we have to remember that the scheme makes the players here and not the other way around. Bill Belichick is still coordinating the defense and will scheme to take away the opponent’s biggest weapon as usual. Considering Miami really doesn’t have a dynamic playmaker on their entire offense, this should be an easy go for the Pats.
SUPERDRAFT CORE 4
QB – Cam Newton – 2x
RB – Josh Jacobs – 1.5x
WR – DK Metcalf – 1.55x
TE – Jack Doyle – 1.5x
FANDUEL CORE 4
QB – Cam Newton – $7300
RB – Austin Ekeler – $7700
WR – DK Metcalf – $6400
DST – Colts – $3700
DRAFTKINGS CORE 4
QB – Cam Newton – $6100
RB – Austin Ekeler – $7000
RB – Zack Moss – $4400
WR – DK Metcalf – $5800
Join me Saturday night in the DFS NFL CHAT for last-minute questions!