CHECK OUT THE MLB LIVE-STREAM FOR A DEEPER DIVE INTO THE ANALYSIS OF THE PLAYS…
SOMETIMES MLB GPP PLAYS MAY SLIGHTLY CHANGE AFTER SHARING IDEAS WITH THE GUYS ON THE STREAM SO MAKE SURE U TUNE IN!
PITCHING TIERS I WILL BE ROCKING WITH TODAY
- Corbin….Always love targeting the Marlins, especially on a slate that is a little messy for pitching. Corbin has been lights out last two starts and looks like he has turned a corner from the K perspective with 17 Ks in his last two starts. I don’t really wanna pay up for pitching, but if I did, this is my guy.
Others: Bauer, Boyd
- Price….Price is not a guy I roster very often, but I don’t love much in the mid-tier today so it was either him or Paxton. Paxton was close to getting the nod, but he is in terrible form of late, so it became Price by default almost (I am paying all the way down for my pitcher).
Others: Gallen, Flaherty
- Lopez…..22 strikeouts in 12 innings vs. the Tigers this year, uh, yeah, sign me the fuck up! I am all in Lopez today at a punt price!
FAVORITE CHALK STACK (20%+)
- Rockies….Not much to say about this one. The Rockies should be like 40% owned today and for good reason!
- Dodgers….The Dodgers are gonna go way underowned today in a spot where they have a 5.6 team total against a very below average right-handed starter. Gotta love this spot for LA.
- Philly…..93 degrees, a pitcher still rounding into form opposing them, the road at-bat and a 7 mph wind blowing out for a hot Phillies team that will be like 2% owned!
Double Dong: Hoskins
5% owned Sleeper: Bellinger
1% owned Sleeper: Freeman
Stolen Base Target: Trea Turner
Fade of the Day: Strahm
TUNE INTO THE LIVESTREAM OR READ THE LIVESTREAM RECAP ARTICLE FOR ALL MY POSITIONAL BREAKDOWNS.
For me, this is not a slate to do much full stacking. Instead, I want to pick off the best plays from each team. The best GPP plays for me are defined by a combination of high point per dollar projection combined with low ownership. Given those two criteria, here is my very favorite GPP play at each position on DraftKings. I wanted to do it this way, as it ultimately forces me to narrow it down further than just listing 4-5 good plays. I plan to have 20 lineups tonight and these will likely be my highest owned plays at each position.
James McCann – McCann is having a spectacular season for the White Sox and will hit cleanup tonight against Matthew Boyd. McCann is hitting above his head a bit, but I’m a believer and Boyd has developed a serious home run problem recently. McCann is expensive in the low $4Ks, but that will hold his ownership below 10% (and perhaps below 5%) in a great hitting environment in Chicago which plays as a hitters park in this weather. Great power potential here, though strikeouts could be an issue for him.
Daniel Vogelbach – You’ll see heavy ownership on Jack Flaherty tonight in Seattle. I get why, as he’s talented and cheap and it’s a good strikeout park. But Flaherty is not nearly as good on the road in general, and he’s not nearly as good against left-handed hitters either. His road numbers vs. lefties are abysmal. Vogelbach smashes right-handed pitching and the best way to get him out for righties is a changeup. Flaherty barely has one. Vogelbach takes him deep tonight at 2% ownership with leverage against the chalk as well.
Jason Kipnis – I’ve talked about some recent swing changes to Kipnis that have led to big results. He’s still cheap, still goes overlooked, and tonight gets Jakob Junis who gets crushed by lefties. The Royals bullpen is not any better, and the Indians are one of my favorite teams to target tonight. Don’t forget about Kipnis especially if you need the savings.
Rafael Devers – It’s a beautiful matchup for Devers tonight against Trent Thornton, who has good stuff but is going to continue to get mashed by left-handed hitters. Devers, after a slow start to the year, is swinging a great bat and hits right-handed pitchers much better than he hits lefties. I’m not super high on the Red Sox overall but Devers is certainly one of my favorite hitters to target overall. The Blue Jays only have one lefty in the pen so Devers will have a strong matchup all game most likely.
Francisco Lindor – He’ll be popular, but at $4600 I can’t avoid Lindor tonight. This is chalk I’ll gladly eat. Lindor not only gets a great matchup against Jakob Junis, but it’s great hitting weather in Kansas City and the bullpen is obviously awful as well. I like that he’s leading off on the road and 5 at-bats seem like a lock here. I don’t normally pay too much attention to BvP results, but I’ll make exceptions. Especially when both the hitter and pitcher have been the same guy for years and we have a decent sample size over a short amount of time. That’s the case here for Junis vs. Lindor. Lindor has 20 career plate appearances vs Junis, has struck out just 1 time, and has 3 home runs and a steal against Junis with a 1.684 OPS. That’s some dominance. Eat that chalk!
Joey Gallo – Everyone will avoid Joey Gallo tonight due to price and the fact he’s facing a lefty. The truth is Gallo is basically the same hitter regardless of handedness of pitcher and he brings as much upside to the table as anyone. He should smash tonight at less than 5% ownership.