Everything you’ll need to stay above the payline in today’s DFS MLB Cash Games!
There are 14 games on the Tuesday slate. We will have our normal full coverage of this slate. I will be on the livestream at 6:05 EST to go over some final thoughts on the slate.
Here is the entire content plan for today:
Cash Game Breakdown – The article you are currently reading.
DFS MLB Lineup Coach – Daily coaching session assisting with all aspects of DFS MLB.
DFS MLB Cheat Sheet – A quick guide to the top plays at each position and salary level.
GPP Writeup – Using experience, game theory & advanced stats to uncover low-owned stars.
Core 4 Livestream – Daily Livestream that covers all DFS sports, featuring guests from throughout the Elite Sports Network.
Be Sure to Bookmark:
Tuesday, May 18th
We have some decent pitching options on this slate, but I do feel like I narrowed the best options. I did not list Lance Lynn or Julio Urias, but they are not terrible options. Just prefer the other guys in a similar price range. I would not doubt that Blake Snell could be popular but is not averaging 5 innings per start, so there appears to be better options. We have some Midwest weather to watch, which I will update as we get closer to game-time. There are plenty of pitchers to target on this slate, which means plenty of hitters in favorable situations.
Washington Nationals @ Chicago Cubs – It is expected to rain on and off throughout the day, with rain clearing out during the evening hours. This game is very questionable to play.
Pittsburgh Pirates @ St. Louis Cardinals – It will rain most of the day but should dry out for the game to play without any problems.
Milwaukee Brewers @ Kansas City Royals – A 30% chance of storms, so a delay is possible, but it should play.
For more info and updated forecast, please check out our MLB Weather Center.
- San Diego Padres: -210
- Milwaukee Brewers: -188
- New York Yankees -165
- Tampa Bay Rays: -150
- Los Angeles Angels: -140
- Toronto Blue Jays: -140
Highest Run Expectancy
- Toronto Blue Jays – 5.18
- New York Yankees – 5.0
- Los Angeles Angels – 4.64
- Tampa Bay Rays – 4.6
- Oakland A’s – 4.38
Lowest Run Expectancy
- Colorado Rockies – 2.87
- Miami Marlins – 3.05
- Kansas City Royals – 3.10
- Pittsburgh Pirates – 3.48
- Detroit Tigers – 3.8
Today's Pitchers Grid
Today’s Best Pitchers
1) Zack Wheeler, RHP, Phillies (FD 10400 & DK 10000) – The Marlins are 28th in ISO and wOBA vs. RHP. They also have the 7th highest K% rate and 26th lowest wOBA over the last 7 days. The current Marlins lineup has just a .531 OPS against Wheeler. He has the 3rd best xFIP, a 47% groundball rate, and does a great job of limiting HRs.
2) Brandon Woodruff, RHP, Brewers (FD 11000 & DK 10200) – He has the best xFIP, 2nd highest K% rate and highest swinging strike rate of all the pitchers on the slate. The Royals are bottom half in both wOBA and ISO vs. RHP. They are also 29th in ISO and 20th in wOBA over the last 7 days. Woodruff has gone at least 6 innings in his last 7 starts, not allowing more than 2 runs in any of those starts (6 runs total).
3) Andrew Heaney, LHP Angels (FD 7600 & DK 7800) – The 2nd best xFIP, best K% rate and 2nd best swinging strike rate on the slate. The home run ball has been the one issue. Heaney has been a bit inconsistent, which is the reason for the mid-tier price. He has double-digit strikeout games in two of his last four starts. The Indians are 28th in wOBA vs. LHP and 29th in wOBA over the last 7 days.
4) Kris Bubic, LHP, Royals (FD 5500 & DK 4000) – He has back-to-back outings of 5 shutout innings in his last two outings of long relief. Bubic has earned his chance at this start. The Brewers have the 8th highest K% rate and are 20th in wOBA vs. LHP. They are also 28th in ISO and 23rd in wOBA over the last 7 days. Bubic should be able to pay off the cheap price against one of the worst offenses in the league.
Pitchers to Target Against
1) Justin Dunn, RHP, Mariners – 6.36 xFIP, 54.3% FB rate, 18.9% K rate, 8.5% swinging strike, .376 wOBA vs. LHH
2) Zach Davies, RHP, Cubs – 5.75 xFIP, 13.2% K rate, 7.8% swinging strike rate, .389 wOBA vs. RHH
3) Mike Foltynewicz, RHP, Rangers – 39.4% Hard Contact, 2.2 HR/9, .437 wOBA vs. LHH
4) Jameson Taillon, RHP, Yankees – 2.16 HR/9, .404 wOBA vs. LHH
5) Matt Harvey, RHP, Orioles – 4.57 xFIP, 16.6% K rate, 7.1% swinging strike rate, .370 wOBA vs. RHH
6) Merrill Kelly, RHP, Diamondbacks – 4.64 xFIP, 17.3% K rate, 7.8% swinging strike rate, 39% Hard Contact
7) Patrick Corbin, LHP, Nationals – 2.48 HR/9, .397 wOBA vs. RHH
We have a brand new stolen base target tool on the site. I strongly recommend looking it over in order to find a value play or to properly assess how likely a player is to steal tonight. (click on link above)
Hot Streaks (Hottest Hitters at Each Position)
Batter vs. Pitcher
C – Martin Maldonado – Astros
2B – DJ LeMahieu – Yankees
3B – Alex Bregman – Astros, Kris Bryant – Cubs
SS – Tim Anderson – White Sox, Javier Baez – Cubs
OF – Teoscar Hernandez – Blue Jays
For more, check out our BvP Matchup Page!
Overall Hitter Rankings
- Manny Pina – Brewers (DK 2700)
- William Contreras – Braves (DK 4000)
- Aaron Nola – Padres (DK 4200)
- Willson Contreras – Cubs (DK 5200)
- Will Smith – Dodgers (DK 4900)
Notes: Pina does not have the potential the rest of these guys do, but he is cheap with good history vs. LHP. The younger Contreras has been great vs. LHP and comes in cheaper than his brother. Nola has more power vs. LHP along with better plate discipline. Smith has 139 RC+ at home in his last 3 years.
- Vlad Guerrero – Blue Jays (FD 4000 & DK 5800)
- Jared Walsh – Angels (FD 3300 & DK 4500)
- Luke Voit – Yankees (FD 2800 & DK 5200)
- Pete Alonso – Mets (FD 3500 & DK 5000)
- Nate Lowe – Rangers (FD 2700 & DK 3800)
- Matt Olson – A’s (FD 3100 & DK 4000)
Notes: Guerrero has a .586 wOBA at the Blue Jays temporary Florida home this season. Walsh is still underpriced while being a Top 5 hitter the last two seasons. Voit will see a big price jump on FD soon, so enjoy the price while you can. Alonso takes on a rookie pitcher, who almost always struggle in their first MLB start. Lowe has a .401 wOBA vs. RHP. Olson has too much power potential to be in this price range on both sites.
- DJ LeMahieu – Yankees (FD 3300 & DK 5600)
- Brandon Lowe – Rays (FD 3500 & DK 5100)
- Marcus Semien – Blue Jays (FD 3500 & DK 5800)
- Ozzie Albies – Braves (FD 3200 & DK 5500)
- Jose Peraza – Mets (FD 2100 & DK 2400)
- Max Muncy – Dodgers (FD 3700)
Notes: DJ has the best price on FD of the top options. None of the Top 4 are easy to fit on DK outside of maybe Lowe because they are all expensive. The Mets are a mess with all of their injuries, and this leaves the cheap Peraza hitting towards the middle of the order, which is crazy. Muncy has more appeal at 2B on FD than 1B.
- Manny Machado – Padres (FD 3500 & DK 5300)
- Joey Wendle – Rays (FD 3000 & DK 4500)
- Kris Bryant – Cubs (FD 3900)
- Austin Riley – Braves (FD 2500 & DK 3600)
- Yoan Moncada – White Sox (FD 3100 & DK 4700)
- Gio Urshela – Yankees (FD 2700 & DK 4800)
Notes: Machado has always been great vs. LHP. Wendle and the Rays look to take advantage of bad Orioles pitching. Bryant is only available on FD, and he has crushed LHP. Riley gives you the best value on both sites in the middle of the order. Moncada has picked up things after a slow start. Urshela remains a value on FD.
- Trea Turner – Nationals (FD 4200 & DK 6000)
- Tim Anderson – White Sox (FD 3700 & DK 5500)
- Xander Bogaerts – Red Sox (FD 3500 & DK 5800)
- Bo Bichette – Blue Jays (FD 3900 & DK 5600)
- Dansby Swanson – Braves (FD 2500 & DK 4100)
- Willy Adames – Rays (FD 2300 & DK 3100)
Notes: This is a very top-heavy position. If the rain stays away, Turner gets a great match-up and the wind blowing out. Anderson’s hits tend to come in bunches, which he has been doing lately, and he has good history against Pineda. Bogaerts is still underpriced on FD. Bichette has a .452 wOBA at home. Swanson is a value on FD, and Adames is value on DK if you choose to go that direction.
- Ronald Acuna – Braves (FD 4400 & DK 6300)
- Bryce Harper – Phillies (FD 3900 & DK 5400)
- Aaron Judge – Yankees (FD 4500 & DK 6000)
- Randal Grichuk – Blue Jays (FD 3000 & DK 4200)
- Austin Meadows – Rays (FD 3600 & DK 3800)
- Joey Gallo – Rangers (FD 3000 & DK 3800)
- Teoscar Hernandez – Blue Jays (FD 3100 & DK 4500)
- Juan Soto – Nationals (FD 4000 & DK 5900)
- Marcell Ozuna – Braves (FD 3200 & DK 5000)
- JD Martinez – Red Sox (FD 4300 & DK 5500)
- Tommy Pham – Padres (FD 2700 & DK 3100)
- Hunter Renfroe – Red Sox (FD 2500 & DK 3000)
- Avisail Garcia – Brewers (FD 2900 & DK 3300)
- Shohei Ohtani – Angels (FD 4000 & DK 4900)
- Mookie Betts – Dodgers (FD 4100 & DK 6200)
Notes: Acuna has a .471 wOBA vs. LHP. Harper has a .449 wOBA vs. RHP. Judge has 5 HRs in his last 8 games. All have great matchups but expensive. Grichuk’s more affordable, been great vs. LHP and in a great ballpark. The same goes for Hernandez. Gallo faces a HR-prone pitcher. Soto will be in a great hitting environment if the game plays. Ozuna is affordable on FD. Pham, Renfroe and Garcia are all very affordable on DK. I will look to add some more extreme values in the OF as the lineups come out for those paying up for pitching.
DFS MLB Core 4
FANDUEL CORE 4
P – Zach Wheeler – Phillies (10400) is probably the smart play but going Bubic (5500)
1B – Vlad Guerrero – Blue Jays (4000)
OF – Tesocar Hernandez – Blue Jays (3100)
UTIL (1B) – Jared Walsh – Angels (3300)
DRAFTKINGS CORE 4
SP1 – Zach Wheeler – Phillies (10000) is probably the smart play but going Bubic (4000)
1B – Vlad Guerrero – Blue Jays (5800)
OF – Bo Bichette – Blue Jays (5600)
OF – Jared Walsh – Angels (4500)