Everything you’ll need to stay above the payline in today’s DFS MLB Cash Games!
There are 13 games on the Tuesday slate with plenty of pitching to choose from. The good news is that lineup building will give you a variety of options with the pitchers to target on the slate and as well as utilize.
Here is the entire content plan for today:
Cash Game Breakdown – The article you are currently reading.
DFS MLB Lineup Coach – Daily coaching session assisting with all aspects of DFS MLB.
DFS MLB Cheat Sheet – A quick guide to the top plays at each position and salary level.
GPP Writeup – Using experience, game theory & advanced stats to uncover low-owned stars.
Core 4 Livestream – Daily Livestream that covers all DFS sports, featuring guests from throughout the Elite Sports Network.
Be Sure to Bookmark:
Tuesday, May 25th
It is an interesting slate with plenty of pitching and affordable hitting. DraftKings has some interesting pricing on their pitching with several guys underpriced. Just two games are missing on the slate, which gives us plenty of choices. Jacob deGrom returns from the IL, which can make for some tough decisions with his expensive price tag and questions on how many pitches he will be able to throw. Every position does provide some value options, which makes lineup building easier than it would be.
Value Updates for mini-stack: Alex Dickerson and Jorge Polanco
No rain issues and the weather is warm in most of the country.
For more info and updated forecast, please check out our MLB Weather Center.
- New York Mets: -250
- Minnesota Twins: -200
- San Francisco Giants: -181
- Tampa Bay Rays: -175
- New York Yankees: -165
Highest Run Expectancy
- Minnesota Twins – 5.34
- New York Yankees – 5.05
- Cleveland Indians – 4.82
- Oakland A’s – 4.80
- Los Angeles Angels – 4.76
Lowest Run Expectancy
- Colorado Rockies – 2.45
- Cincinnati Reds – 3.25
- Milwaukee Brewers – 3.33
- Kansas City Royals – 3.61
- St. Louis Cardinals – 3.64
Today's Pitchers Grid
Today’s Best Pitchers
1) Jacob deGrom, RHP, Mets (FD 12000 & DK 11800) – There does not appear to be any set pitch limit for deGrom. He threw 4 innings in a minor league start plus some additional pitches after in the bullpen. deGrom probably will not get over 100, but that should not be needed in this match-up. We know he is the best pitcher in baseball by every metric out there. The Rockies, away from Coors Field, are the worst hitting team in the league. Unless deGrom gets re-injured, he will dominate this lineup.
2) Kevin Gausman, RHP, Giants (FD 10800 & DK 7200) – I have no idea what the DraftKings price is about, but as you can see, there is a drastic difference between the major sites. The Diamondbacks did get Ketel Marte back but still have the 9th highest K% rate, 23rd in ISO and 29th in wOBA over the last week. Gausman has allowed more than 1 run in just one start all season and thrown at least 6 innings in all of his starts. He is a lock on DraftKings at this price.
3) Joe Musgrove, RHP, Padres (FD 8400 & DK 9500) – The Brewers have the 6th highest K% rate, 24th in ISO and 26th in wOBA vs. RHP. Musgrove has been a little up and down this season but has been dominant at times. He is coming off a great start with 11 K’s over 7 innings in his last start. If you want to pay down from deGrom on either site, he is the way to go. Musgrove has the 3rd best xFIP, 4th best K% rate and 5th best swinging strike rate on the slate at a cheaper price than the other stud pitchers.
Other pitchers considered but just did not make the cut (ranked in order of preference):
Jose Berrios (FD 9000 & DK 9000)
Corbin Burnes (FD 10200 & DK 9100)
Lucas Giolito (FD 8500 & DK 8700)
4) Kyle Freeland, LHP, Rockies (FD 6600 & DK 5300) – This would be a DraftKings specific play. The Mets lineup is a train wreck with all of their injuries. They have the 10th highest K% rate, 24th in ISO and 28th in wOBA over the last week with their Triple-A lineup. Freeland returns from the IL after a good showing in a minor league start. The pitch count should be somewhere around 90, so a solid play at a cheap price tag.
Pitchers to Target Against
1) Tarik Skubal, LHP, Tigers – 5.54 xFIP, 11% BB rate, 2.84 HR/9, .372 wOBA vs. LHH, .395 wOBA vs. RHH
2) Dean Kremer, RHP, Orioles – 4.92 xFIP, 8.6% swinging strike rate, 2.65 HR/9, .409 wOBA vs. LHH, .370 wOBA vs. RHH
3) Brad Keller, RHP, Royals – 4.52 xFIP, 9.8% swinging strike rate, 17.6% K rate, 28.1% Line Drive rate, .393 wOBA vs. LHH, .404 wOBA vs. RHH
4) Corbin Martin, RHP, Diamondbacks & Bullpen – 4.89 xFIP, 5.2% swinging strike rate, 17.4% BB rate
5) Jose Berrios, RHP, Twins – 28% Line Drive rate, .415 wOBA vs. LHH
We have a brand new stolen base target tool on the site. I strongly recommend looking it over in order to find a value play or to properly assess how likely a player is to steal tonight. (click on link above)
Hot Streaks (Hottest Hitters at Each Position)
Batter vs. Pitcher
2B – Jose Peraza – Mets, DJ LeMahieu – Yankees, Jose Altuve – Astros
3B – Brian Anderson – Marlins, Justin Turner – Dodgers
SS – Miguel Rojas – Marlins
OF – Kyle Schwarber – Nationals, Christian Yelich – Brewers
For more, check out our BvP Matchup Page!
Overall Hitter Rankings
- James McCann – Mets (DK 3400)
- Buster Posey – Giants (DK 4500)
- Tom Murphy – Mariners (DK 3100)
- Austin Hedges – Indians (DK 2700)
- Will Smith – Dodgers (DK 4400)
Notes: This is always a great position to get some value. McCann will be in the lineup vs. a LHP after hitting a HR while occupying the 3rd spot. Posey has been hitting like he did 5 years ago. Murphy has some power vs. LHP and is cheap. Hedges is an occasional HR or nothing but does face the worst pitcher on the slate. Smith is probably the best hitting catcher in the league at this point.
- Miguel Sano – Twins (FD 2800 & DK 4300)
- Brandon Belt – Giants (FD 2800 & DK 4300)
- Matt Olson – A’s (FD 3600 & DK 4600)
- Luke Voit – Yankees (FD 2600 & DK 4000)
- Vlad Guerrero – Blue Jays (FD 4300 & DK 5500)
Notes: It is not a normal night at this position. You do not have to pay up to get a great option. Sano has 6 HRs in his last 10 games and gets the O’s pitching staff. Belt gets the trash Dbacks staff. Olson faces off against a rookie pitcher who has struggled his first two starts. Voit is a discounted price right now. Vlad has been great this year but far more human when not hitting in Florida.
- Nick Solak – Rangers (FD 2700 & DK 4300)
- DJ LeMahieu – Yankees (FD 3000 & DK 4800)
- Whit Merrifield – Royals (FD 3000 & DK 4900)
- Brandon Lowe – Rays (FD 3500 & DK 5100)
- Owen Miller – Indians (DK 2000)
- Ty France – Mariners (FD 2100 & DK 3400)
Notes: Solak has a .396 wOBA vs. LHP. DJ is 6 for 10 vs. Matz in his career, loves hitting at home, and has always been great vs. LHP. Whit loves LHP and will easily steal a base on that Rich Hill curveball. Lowe has great power vs. RHP, and Keller struggles vs. LHH. Miller is a DK punt option who had a great start in the minors this season before his promotion. A higher spot in the batting order would help Miller, but he is facing the worst starter on the slate. France is the best FD value.
- Jose Ramirez – Indians (FD 4100 & DK 5700)
- Josh Donaldson – Twins (FD 2700 & FD 4100)
- Austin Riley – Braves (FD 3000 & DK 4000)
- Rafael Devers – Red Sox (FD 3800 & DK 5000)
- Gio Urshela – Yankees (FD 2400 & DK 3900)
Notes: Right back on the horse with Ramirez, even with the disappointing game last night. Donaldson is price play against a bad starter and pitching staff. Riley has a .414 wOBA vs. RHP and 6 HRs in his last 6 games. Devers has been crushing in May. Urshela is a value option on FD.
- Gleyber Torres – Yankees (FD 2700 & DK 3700)
- Isiah Kiner-Falefa – Rangers (FD 2400 & DK 3600)
- Amed Rosario – Indians (FD 2400 & DK 3600)
- Brandon Crawford – Giants (FD 3000 & DK 4100)
- Fernando Tatis – Padres (FD 4400 & DK 6600)
Notes: Torres is 11 for 18 since returning from the COVID list and still has a deflated price. IKF has shown surprising power and has speed vs. a pitcher that can allow both. Rosario is a value option if hitting 2nd. Crawford has over a .400 wOBA vs. RHP against a bad pitching staff. I will likely not use him, but Tatis is always in play.
- Aaron Judge – Yankees (FD 3700 & DK 5500)
- Ronald Acuna – Braves (FD 4500 & DK 6100)
- Adolis Garcia – Rangers (FD 3400 & DK 3400)
- Mitch Haniger – Mariners (FD 3500 & DK 4900)
- Mike Tauchman – Giants (FD 2400 & DK 3600)
- Mike Yastrzemski – Giants (FD 3100 & DK 5700)
- Max Kepler – Twins (FD 2900 & DK 3900)
- Jordan Luplow – Indians (FD 2700 & DK 3500)
- Anthony Santander – Orioles (FD 3000 & DK 3000)
- Kyle Lewis – Mariners (FD 2400 & DK 3500)
- Jesse Winker – Reds (FD 3800 & DK 5400)
- Justin Upton – Angels (FD 3000 & DK 3300)
- Ramon Laureano – A’s (FD 3700 & DK 5600)
- Austin Meadows – Rays (FD 3900 & DK 4900)
- Danny Santana – Red Sox (FD 2700 & DK 2600)
Notes: Some of these plays are price-dependent based on the site. Judge is the top OF play. Acuna is always in play with his potential. Garcia is criminally underpriced on DK. Tauchman is only in play if leading off. Yaz is a FD-only play. Kepler is someone to make sure he is in the lineup as he has been battling an injury. Santander is another DK price mess-up who has been hitting clean-up. Lewis is too talented not to hit and comes off a HR last night. Winker could strike out 4 times, but he is the most likely to homer off of Scherzer, who we know does not mind giving up solo HRs.
DFS MLB Core 4
FANDUEL CORE 4
P – Jacob deGrom (11800)
3B – Jose Ramirez (4100)
OF – Aaron Judge (5500)
SS – Gleyber Torres (2700)
DRAFTKINGS CORE 4
SP1 – Kevin Gausman (7200)
3B – Jose Ramirez (5700)
OF – Aaron Judge (5700)
SS – Gleyber Torres (3700)