Are we all settling in yet? We’re still a few weeks out from the start of conference play for most teams. We have another week of snap count and target data to pull from, so things should start getting more predictable from a fantasy standpoint. Be sure to check out my strategy session that focused on “Defining Value and Exploring Lineup Trends”. There is a lot of useful information in there to help you when you’re building lineups moving forward.
Here you can choose which slate you’d like to jump to, or you can skip right to the rankings:
DraftKings Featured Slate, 12:00 pm (12 games)
KANSAS STATE @ MISSISSIPPI STATE (12:00 pm Kickoff)
Spread: Mississippi State -7.5 | Total: 52.0
Malik Knowles ($3,600) has led KSU in targets for two straight weeks. He’s totaled 8 catches, 125 yards, and 2 scores thus far, and is incredibly underpriced. Skyler Thompson ($5,500) hasn’t been putting up huge fantasy numbers, but against the likes of Nichols and Bowling Green, he hasn’t needed to – I think we can fire him up this week.
James Gilbert ($5,200) looks like the perfect replacement for Alex Barnes thus far. He has back to back games with at least one rushing score and 100+ yards. Mississippi State had the third-best rushing defense in college football last season, but lost so many key pieces and struggled to stop the run against both Louisiana and Southern Miss.
Bulldogs QB Tommy Stevens ($7,300) has not looked like a suitable replacement for Nick Fitzgerald thus far. He left last week’s game with a shoulder injury, but should be fine for this one. Until I see some kind of production on the ground from Stevens, though, I’m not too interested. This offense belongs to Kylin Hill ($7,500) for the moment. Expect a big workload, and even bigger fantasy production out of Hill.
DFS Targets: QB Skyler Thompson (KSU), RB James Gilbert (KSU), WR Malik Knowles (KSU), RB Kylin Hill (MSST)
NC STATE @ WEST VIRGINIA (12:00 pm Kickoff)
Spread: NC State -7 | Total: 46.0
The total for this game has dropped significantly. NC State has one of the top defenses in the country, and by the looks of it – West Virginia is going to need some more time to…pardon my French…get their shit together. That being said, Sam James ($4,600) has led this team in passing targets for two straight weeks to start the season, and is still priced relatively low for what looks like the WR1.
I knew Zonovan “Bam” Knight ($5,500) would eventually take over in the backfield for NC State, I just didn’t think it would happen so soon. He is going to be a star.
DFS Targets: WR Sam James (WVU), RB Zonovan Knight (NCST)
OHIO STATE @ INDIANA (12:00 pm Kickoff)
Ohio State has gone 25-0-1 in their last 26 games against the Hoosiers – IU isn’t going to break that streak here. Justin Fields ($9,200) has been everything the Buckeyes had hoped for, and more. He’s completing 76% of his passes, and has accounted for 9 total touchdowns through two games. I don’t trust any of the pass-catchers as sure things, but Fields seems like a safe bet to go for 30+ fantasy points once again.
I’m kicking myself for the J.K. Dobbins ($7,500) fade last week – 141 yards and 2 touchdowns. Indiana’s defense is not a daunting one, and if we look back at Dobbins’ game log, we see: 31 DK points against Cincinnati, 17 against FAU (in a blowout), 13 against a tough Washington defense, 28 against Northwestern, 6 against a tough Michigan defense, 30 against Maryland, 5 against a tough Michigan State defense, 41 against Nebraska, etc etc etc. This is NOT a tough defense, so Dobbins will be one of my top RB’s on the slate.
We saw Peyton Ramsey ($4,700) chop up this OSU defense in 2018, to the tune of 322 passing yards and 3 touchdowns. Michael Penix ($6,300) looks like he’ll be held out this week, making Ramsey a nice superflex option.
In two games, Ohio State’s defense has allowed 15 catches for 154 yards and a touchdown to opposing tight ends. Peyton Hendershot ($4,100) is quickly becoming one of the top-producing tight ends in the country, thanks in part to Indiana’s new offensive scheme under former Fresno State coordinator Kalen DeBoer. Fresno State’s Jared Rice ranked No. 4 in the country amongst tight ends with 55 catches last season under DeBoer. Hendershot is on pace for almost the exact same number of catches, with 9 through his first two games – for 121 yards and a score. He also leads the team in passing targets. Hendershot is a favorite of mine this week for all formats.
DFS Targets: QB Justin Fields (OSU), RB J.K. Dobbins (OSU), QB Peyton Ramsey (IU), TE Peyton Hendershot (IU)
PITTSBURGH @ PENN STATE (12:00 pm Kickoff)
Spread: Penn State -17 | Total: 53.0
I don’t expect much offense from Pitt in this one. The team has managed only 34 combined points against UNLV and Ohio, and will be facing a Penn State defense that leads the nation in sacks through two games.
Sean Clifford ($7,300) has been extremely efficient through two games, completing nearly 70% of his passes for 559 yards and 6 scores. He’s also added over 100 yards on the ground, and should be able to pile up the fantasy points again here.
Going back to week three of last season, TE Pat Freiermuth ($4,200) has caught at least one touchdown pass in 8 of 12 games. He is extremely touchdown dependent, so this is a GPP-only play, but as we saw last week (30 DK points), he has a very high ceiling, which we need to get to that 4.85x value we need to take down the big tournaments.
DFS Targets: QB Sean Clifford (PSU), TE Pat Freiermuth (PSU)
MARYLAND @ TEMPLE (12:00 pm Kickoff)
Spread: Maryland -7 | Total: 66.5
In his last three games when receiving double-digit carries, Maryland RB Anthony McFarland ($6,600) produced 23, 45, and 32 DK points. Barring injury, he should easily surpass 10 carries in this one, and is one of the top values on the slate.
QB Josh Jackson ($6,600) I’m not so sure about. Temple ranked No. 20 in the nation against the pass in 2018, and their new head coach Rod Carey always seemed to find a way to slow opponents down in his time with Northern Illinois.
I’ll be taking some GPP shots with Temple RB Re’Mahn Davis ($3,600). The true freshman is listed as a co-starter, but was the most impressive back in the Owls week one win over Bucknell. Davis touched the ball 11 times in that game, and just one of those touches went for less than 5 yards.
DFS Targets: RB Anthony McFarland (UMD), RB Re’Mahn Davis (TEMP)
USC @ BYU (3:30 pm Kickoff)
Spread: USC -4 | Total: 56.5
Zach Wilson ($6,500) is a decent quarterback, but averaged just 12 DK points per game against Utah and Tennessee in weeks 1 and 2. USC shut down Stanford’s offense, and I don’t see BYU getting there in this one, either.
Kedon Slovis ($6,600) was a revelation for the Trojans last week, going 28-for-33, for 377 yards and 3 scores against a solid Stanford defense. Tyler Vaughns ($5,700) has eclipsed 20 DK points in 6 of his last 9 games – averaging 19.6 per game. Amon-Ra St. Brown ($5,000) proved he didn’t need his high school quarterback to ball out – going for 8-97-2 against the Cardinals.
DFS Targets: QB Kedon Slovis (USC), WR Tyler Vaughns (USC), WR Amon-Ra St. Brown (USC)
STANFORD @ UCF (3:30 pm Kickoff)
Spread: UCF -9 | Total: 60.0
Connor Wedington ($5,500) is still underpriced as Stanford’s WR1. I don’t have a ton of faith in the Cardinal offense this week, but will have some Wedington exposure – especially if Costello is back in the lineup.
I think UCF wins this one, but I’m not touching any of their offensive players. There are potentially three quarterbacks that will take snaps this week and we still have a three-man backfield here – despite Greg McCrae ($6,300) very clearly being the best option of the three. The receiving corps is nice, but the QB’s are terribly inaccurate. I think the Knights get a little bit of production from a lot of different players, without getting a LOT of production from any one.
DFS Targets: WR Connor Wedington (STAN)
OKLAHOMA STATE @ TULSA (3:30 pm Kickoff)
Spread: Oklahoma State -14 | Total: 64.0
Tulsa will score some points in this one – Oklahoma State will score many more. Still, Tulsa QB Zach Smith ($5,600) and his WR1 Sam Crawford Jr. ($4,600) will find their way into a couple of my GPP lineups. I think they should both reach cash value pretty easily, too.
This is all about the Cowboys though. QB Spencer Sanders ($9,300), RB Chubba Hubbard ($8,300), and WR Tylan Wallace ($8,600) are all top-five fantasy options at their respective positions this week. They are priced accordingly, but there is plenty of value available on this slate to have exposure.
DFS Targets: QB Zach Smith (TLSA), WR Sam Crawford Jr. (TLSA), QB Spencer Sanders (OKST), RB Chubba Hubbard (OKST), WR Tylan Wallace (OKST)
ALABAMA @ SOUTH CAROLINA (3:30 pm Kickoff)
Spread: Alabama -25.5 | Total: 61.5
I don’t see anything on South Carolina’s roster that we need to worry about for fantasy purposes this week.
There may be just enough value on this slate to let us squeeze in a Tua Tagovailoa ($9,000) and Jerry Jeudy ($8,000) mini-stack. Both players are legit Heisman contenders this season.
The other Bama receivers have high ceilings, but are completely inconsistent from week to week. Guys like Ruggs and Smith can go from 25 DK points one week, to 5 the next week – you just never know, and so, I generally avoid them.
I also want to wait and see with the Alabama running backs. They’ve got four guys sharing carries right now, so I’m interested to see how the split shakes out against a conference opponent. I would recommend giving these guys at least another week.
DFS Targets: QB Tua Tagovailoa (BAMA), WR Jerry Jeudy (BAMA)
UNLV @ NORTHWESTERN (3:30 pm Kickoff)
Spread: Northwestern -17.5 | Total: 52.5
UNLV was embarrassed at home last week, losing 43-17 to Arkansas State. I don’t expect a whole lot from UNLV’s offense this week, but I will have some exposure to former USC-transfer Randal Grimes ($3,300). He’s the clear WR1 in this offense, and will not need much to hit value.
Northwestern split snaps between two quarterbacks in week one, and neither one of them were particularly good. Isaiah Bowser ($6,200) is out, and we’re likely to see a three-man committee at RB.
WR Bennett Skowronek ($5,000) disappointed last season, but was one of the lone bright spots in the loss to Stanford. He caught 5 balls for 53 yards against a good defense – he should have the opportunity to double those numbers against this UNLV squad.
DFS Targets: WR Randal Grimes (UNLV), WR Bennett Skowronek (NW)
IOWA @ IOWA STATE (4:00 pm Kickoff)
Spread: Iowa -2 | Total: 42.5
Just a 42-point total on this game, despite both offenses flashing early in the season. There were just 459 combined offensive yards in last year’s meeting.
Aside from a few GPP shots on WR Ihmir Smith-Marsette ($4,800), there isn’t much that interests me here.
DFS Targets: WR Ihmir Smith-Marsette (IOWA)
ARIZONA STATE @ MICHIGAN STATE (4:00 pm Kickoff)
Spread: Michigan State -14.5 | Total: 42.0
This Spartan run defense is simply incredible. Through two games, they’ve allowed a combined -3 rushing yards to Tulsa and Western Michigan. Even though Eno Benjamin ($7,500) is coming to town, I don’t expect the Sun Devils to test this D-line much – Benjamin ran for 27 yards on 13 carries against MSU last season.
Manny Wilkins threw for almost 400 yards in that game, so I have a little GPP interest in both QB Jayden Daniels ($6,500) and WR Brandon Aiyuk ($5,400). I wish these two were a little cheaper in what might be their toughest matchup of the season, but if this pass game clicks like it did last season, both could still provide nice value.
Elijah Collins ($3,000) is grossly mispriced this week as the Spartans RB1 in a game the team is a 13-point favorite in. This is as close to a free square as we have this week – lock him.
Darrell Stewart Jr. ($5,800) seems to be the preferred target for MSU QB Brian Lewerke ($6,800) with 22 targets through two games. Look for another big game from these two.
DFS Targets: QB Jayden Daniels (ASU), WR Brandon Aiyuk (ASU), QB Brian Lewerke (MSU), RB Elijah Collins (MSU), WR Darrell Stewart Jr. (MSU)
Featured Slate (12:00 pm) Positional Rankings (ranked by value)
- Justin Fields, Ohio State, $9,200 (Cash or GPP)
- Spencer Sanders, Oklahoma State, $9,300 (Cash or GPP)
- Kedon Slovis, USC, $6,600 (Cash or GPP)
- Sean Clifford, Penn State, $7,300 (Cash or GPP)
- Tua Tagovailoa, Alabama, $9,000 (Cash or GPP)
- Zach Smith, Tulsa, $5,600 (Cash or GPP)
- Peyton Ramsey, Indiana, $4,700 (Cash or GPP)
- Brian Lewerke, Michigan State, $6,800 (Cash or GPP)
- Skyler Thompson, Kansas State, $5,500 (Cash or GPP)
- Jayden Daniels, Arizona State, $6,500 (GPP)
- Elijah Collins, Michigan State, $3,000 (Cash or GPP)
- Kylin Hill, Mississippi State, $7,500 (Cash or GPP)
- Chubba Hubbard, Oklahoma State, $8,300 (Cash or GPP)
- Anthony McFarland, Maryland, $6,600 (Cash or GPP)
- J.K. Dobbins, Ohio State, $7,500 (Cash or GPP)
- Re’Mahn Davis, Temple, $3,600 (GPP)
- James Gilbert, Kansas State, $5,200 (Cash or GPP)
- Zonovan Knight, NC State, $5,500 (Cash or GPP)
- Tylan Wallace, Oklahoma State, $8,600 (Cash or GPP)
- Jerry Jeudy, Alabama, $8,000 (Cash or GPP)
- Tyler Vaughns, USC, $5,700 (Cash or GPP)
- Amon-Ra St. Brown, USC, $5,000 (Cash or GPP)
- Malik Knowles, Kansas State, $3,600 (Cash or GPP)
- Peyton Hendershot, Indiana, $4,100 (Cash or GPP)
- Sam Crawford Jr., Tulsa, $4,600 (Cash or GPP)
- Darell Stewart, Michigan State, $5,800 (Cash or GPP)
- Bennett Skowronek, Northwestern, $5,000 (Cash or GPP)
- Randal Grimes, UNLV, $3,300 (Cash or GPP)
- Pat Freiermuth, Penn State, $4,200 (GPP)
- Brandon Aiyuk, Arizona State, $5,400 (GPP)
- Sam James, West Virginia, $4,600 (GPP)
- Ihmir Smith-Marsette, Iowa, $4,800 (GPP)
- Connor Wedington, Stanford, $5,500 (Cash or GPP)
DraftKings Night Slate, 7:00 pm (7 games)
FLORIDA @ KENTUCKY (7:00 pm Kickoff)
Spread: Florida -8 | Total: 48.5
Terry Wilson suffered a knee injury last week, and is lost to Kentucky for the season. It’s a devastating injury to that offense that was already trying to survive the departure of Benny Snell. I’m not interested in any of this Wildcat offense here.
Lamical Perine ($6,400) is the clear #1 back in the Gator offense, and has been getting a lot of looks in the pass game, too. As 8-point favorites, Florida could keep the ball on the ground should they get up – something we saw a lot of last season. I’m not terribly interested in anyone from their pass game.
DFS Targets: RB Lamical Perine (UF)
HAWAII @ WASHINGTON (7:30 pm Kickoff)
Spread: Washington -21.5 | Total: 58.5
Here’s where the Hawaii train comes to a stop. After back-to-back wins against Pac-10 opponents, the Rainbow Warrior pass game is about to hit a brick wall. Washington lost to Cal last week, which is NOT going to sit well with this team. They should come out mad and run all over this defense.
In 6 losses last season, Cole McDonald ($7,400) averaged just 19.2 DK points per game, with a high of 26. I won’t have any exposure to McDonald, but I do find Cedric Byrd ($5,800) hard to pass up at this price. He’s led the team in targets in both games to start the season.
There’s one player I’ll have exposure to on Washington’s side, and it’s the running back Salvon Ahmed ($7,200). He went 21-119-1 in the loss to Cal – and that was a good defense.
DFS Targets: WR Cedric Byrd (HAW), RB Salvon Ahmed (UW)
TCU @ PURDUE (7:30 pm Kickoff)
Spread: TCU -2 | Total: 52.5
Purdue QB Elijah Sindelar ($7,900) left last week’s 42-24 victory over Vanderbilt with a concussion. He is very much questionable for this one. Jack Plummer ($5,200) would step in if Sindelar is out, and would be a big value with the nation’s most dangerous wide receiver by his side. I’m playing Rondale Moore ($8,100) whether he costs me $8,000 or $12,000 at this rate – the guy simply can’t be slowed down thus far. There is no amount of double or triple-teaming that has been able to prevent Moore from going off. He has 36 passing targets in two games, and has gone for 24 catches, 344 yards and 2 scores.
TE Brycen Hopkins ($5,400) has scored 3 times in two games, combining for a 9-125-3 stat line. He is very touchdown dependent, so I’d only consider him for GPP’s, but he could provide a safety valve for Plummer if Sindelar misses.
We haven’t seen much of TCU, just an opening week blowout over Arkansas-Pine Bluff. Tre Hights ($4,900) had a monster game in week one, but this was mainly due some extended playing time due to a couple injuries and the blowout – I don’t expect Hights to get nearly the same amount of work in this one.
Jalen Reagor ($7,100) is a legit NFL prospect who had some monster fantasy games in 2018. Purdue had no answer for Vanderbilt’s WR1 Kalija Lipscomb last week, and I expect Reagor to produce.
If he plays, I’ll also have a GPP shot with Mikel Barkley ($3,000) – he was a standout in fall camp, but missed the season opener, and is questionable to play in this one too.
At quarterback, TCU will begin with a two-man rotation, but Max Duggan ($4,800) was the far better passer in week one. I’d expect him to lead the QB split, and could pay off big-time if Gary Patterson turns to his true freshman early.
DFS Targets: QB Jack Plummer (PUR), WR Rondale Moore (PUR), TE Brycen Hopkins (PUR), QB Max Duggan (TCU), WR Jalen Reagor (TCU), WR Mikel Barkley (TCU)
FLORIDA STATE @ VIRGINIA (7:30 pm Kickoff)
Spread: Virginia -7.5 | Total: 58.0
These poor FSU fans have really had their hearts tested over the past two weeks. Two straight fourth-quarter meltdowns culminated with a near disaster to ULM of the Sun Belt. The offense is working though.
QB James Blackmon ($6,200) looks like the real deal, and has been incredibly efficient through two games. He seems to be a safe bet to hit cash value at this price.
Blackmon has almost no rushing upside, so this is a situation where I’d probably look to stack him with one of his receivers in GPP’s. Tamorrion Terry ($5,700) and D.J. Matthews ($5,300) have combined to receive nearly half of Blackmon’s passing targets. Picking the right one will be the hard part – I’d lean Terry.
Cam Akers ($6,700) is off to a great start, accumulating nearly 75 DK points in his first two games. This Virginia defense is solid, so FSU is not high on my list of targets, but their salaries certainly put them into play.
Bryce Perkins ($7,300) could explode in this one. The Seminoles secondary has been getting torched, and Perkins is an extremely underrated quarterback in the college football landscape.
Joe Reed ($6,500) is the quintessential GPP play. A burner with the knack for the big play, Reed has formed a nice chemistry with Perkins, and has eclipsed 20 DK points in 3 of 6 games dating back to last season.
DFS Targets: QB James Blackmon (FSU), RB Cam Akers (FSU), WR Tamorrion Terry (FSU), WR D.J. Matthews (FSU), QB Bryce Perkins (UV), WR Joe Reed (UV)
CLEMSON @ SYRACUSE (7:30 pm Kickoff)
Spread: Clemson -27.5 | Total: 64.5
Syracuse has been poking the bear for the past two seasons, and they’re about to face the consequences. Clemson should rip this team. Travis Etienne ($7,800) should be an absolute lock in all lineups. He went for three scores and 200+ yards against this defense last season, and is itching to stretch out his legs after being bottled up against Texas A&M last week.
Tee Higgins ($5,600) was the main target in this offense last season, and although his ceiling games are few and far between, this price is too good to pass up on. Justyn Ross ($7,600) will be lower-owned thanks to the salary difference, but I don’t think I’ll be able to pull the trigger. This would be a GPP play for me, but based on the values I defined this week, he’ll need 24 DK points to hit min-cash value in tournaments, and 34.2 DK points to hit GPP-winning value – a number he’s hit just once in his career.
I also won’t be rostering Trevor Lawrence ($8,300). I really think this sets up as a Travis Etienne game, as Lawrence shouldn’t NEED to throw the ball all that much.
DFS Targets: RB Travis Etienne (CLEM), WR Tee Higgins (CLEM)
OKLAHOMA @ UCLA (8:00 pm Kickoff)
Spread: Oklahoma -23.5 | Total: 73.0
Oklahoma is projected to score almost 50 points against this UCLA defense. Jalen Hurts ($8,500) is about to go off. I’m not sure we can expect another 66 DK point performance like we saw against Houston, but he should hit cash value with ease. CeeDee Lamb ($7,500) is the top pass-catcher, and has gone over 28 DK points in three of his last four games. Charleston Rambo ($5,000) is the WR2, and has scored in his last three games – going back to last year’s CFP game against Alabama. UCLA has been a train wreck against the pass under Chip Kelly.
I’m not sure what to do with these running backs. Trey Sermon ($5,600), Kennedy Brooks ($5,800), and Rhamondre Stevenson ($4,400) are all likely to see a decent amount of reps. Individually, these three are averaging just 12.3 DK points per game through the first two weeks. Stevenson is the only back to have a game with more than 14 DK points. There is too much going on here for me, and I’ll have Etienne locked into all my lineups, so I’ll pass on these guys despite their more-than-reasonable salaries.
Expect Joshua Kelley ($7,000) to get the ball early and often for UCLA. He’s pricey, but he had some monster games against REALLY good defenses last season – 28 DK points against Washington, 40 against Cal, 18 against Utah, 21 against Stanford – and this Sooner defense is not as good as any of those.
DFS Targets: QB Jalen Hurts (OU), WR CeeDee Lamb (OU), WR Charleston Rambo (OU), RB Joshua Kelley (UCLA)
TEXAS @ RICE (8:00 pm Kickoff)
Spread: Texas -32 | Total: 56.0
This Rice team isn’t horrible, but Texas is going to rebound after the slobber-knocker against LSU last week. Sam Ehlinger ($8,800) is one of the top quarterbacks on the slate. He has so many options to throw the ball to, but it’s been Devin Duvernay ($6,900) who’s led the team in targets and catches in the first two weeks. Brennan Eagles ($6,300) has earned some extra playing time as well.
Keaontay Ingram ($5,700) has the ability to run all over this Rice defense, but will he get the chance to? The Longhorns depth at RB is incredibly thin, and they have conference play starting next week. As 31-point favorites, I just don’t see Ingram getting much work – too risky.
DFS Targets: QB Sam Ehlinger (UT), WR Devin Duvernay (UT), WR Brennan Eagles (UT)
Night Slate (7:00 pm) Positional Rankings (ranked by value)
- Jalen Hurts, Oklahoma, $8,500 (Cash or GPP)
- Sam Ehlinger, Texas, $8,800 (Cash or GPP)
- Bryce Perkins, Virginia, $7,300 (Cash or GPP)
- James Blackmon, Florida State, $6,200 (Cash or GPP)
- Jack Plummer, Purdue, $5,200 (Cash or GPP) *Only if Sindelar is out
- Max Duggan, TCU, $4,800 (GPP)
- Travis Etienne, Clemson, $7,800 (Cash or GPP)
- Salvon Ahmed, Washington, $7,200 (Cash or GPP)
- Joshua Kelley, UCLA, $7,000 (Cash or GPP)
- Cam Akers, Florida State, $6,700 (Cash or GPP)
- Lamical Perine, Florida, $6,400 (Cash or GPP)
- Rondale Moore, Purdue, $8,100 (Cash or GPP)
- Jalen Reagor, TCU, $7,100 (Cash or GPP)
- Cedric Byrd, Hawaii, $5,800 (Cash or GPP)
- Devin Duvernay, Texas, $6,900 (Cash or GPP)
- Tee Higgins, Clemson, $5,600 (Cash or GPP)
- CeeDee Lamb, Oklahoma, $7,500 (Cash or GPP)
- Charleston Rambo, Oklahoma, $5,000 (Cash or GPP)
- Brennan Eagles, Texas, $6,300 (GPP)
- Joe Reed, Virginia, $6,500 (GPP)
- Tamorrion Terry, Florida State, $5,700 (GPP)
- D.J. Matthews, Florida State, $5,300 (GPP)
- Brycen Hopkins, Purdue, $5,400 (GPP)
- Mikel Barkley, TCU, $3,000 (Cash or GPP) *Make sure he’s playing
DraftKings Late Night Slate, 10:15 pm (3 games)
PORTLAND STATE @ BOISE STATE (10:15 pm Kickoff)
Spread: Boise State -31.5 | Total: 54.0
Boise State plays host to one of the top teams from the FCS. Portland State kept things close with Arkansas in week one, so don’t assume this will be a blowout.
Hank Bachmeier ($5,800) has 85 pass attempts through the season’s first two weeks. With that kind of volume against an FCS defense, this seems to be one of the safest plays on the three-game slate.
Khalil Shakir ($6,300) is the #1 WR in this offense, and has piled up 13 catches, 173 yards, and a score thus far.
I can’t recommend any of the running backs just yet. Robert Mahone ($4,300) is the team’s starter, but was shaken up early against Marshall last week. He’s been practicing, but I can’t say for sure if he actually plays – or more importantly – gets his full compliment of carries. If he’s announced as OUT, I think George Holani ($4,600) becomes a lock.
Portland State WR Emmanuel Daigbe ($3,000) gives us salary relief if needed, but I don’t love him.
DFS Targets: QB Hank Bachmeier (BSU), RB George Holani (BSU), WR Khalil Shakir (BSU), WR Emmanuel Daigbe (PORST)
TEXAS TECH @ ARIZONA (10:30 pm Kickoff)
Spread: Texas Tech -2 | Total: 77.0
We’ve got the highest projected total of the week here, and I believe most of your late night lineup should come from this game.
Alan Bowman ($6,800) will start under center for the Red Raiders, and he’s going to be slinging it around in every direction against this defense. T.J. Vasher ($7,700) is the most skilled receiver on the team, and has led TT in targets from Bowman in both games this season, but his salary may keep me from having too much exposure. I think I prefer Dalton Rigdon ($5,200) for the $2.5k savings. Rigdon has ranked second in targets behind Vasher, and is averaging just 4 fewer fantasy points per game than the WR1.
RB Ta’Zhawn Henry ($5,300) is the lead back, and has been a big factor in the pass game thus far – with 5 receptions in each of the season’s first two games. He should easily reach cash value, and seems to be safe from any negative game script with his pass-catching skill.
Khalil Tate ($8,200) is certainly in play, but I strongly prefer Bowman – both from a raw points perspective, and most definitely when it comes to value. Tate is a strong superflex option though, and has slate-breaking upside with his rushing ability.
Tayvian Cunningham ($5,200) is once again my top target at WR for Arizona. This dude is dynamic, and followed up a strong debut against Hawaii, with a two-touchdown breakout against Northern Arizona last week – Cunningham still has a very reasonable salary.
J.J. Taylor ($6,400) scampered for 100+ yards in week two, and should be a pretty safe cash play. Looking at our value chart, he’ll need 2.75x to get there – which is 17.6 points on DK. His last seven games he’s finished with 19, 15, 19, 7, 23, 41, and 27 DK points.
If you’re looking for a low-owned GPP dart in this one, may I suggest Texas Tech TE Donta Thompson ($3,600)?
DFS Targets: QB Alan Bowman (TTU), RB Ta’Zhawn Henry (TTU), WR T.J. Vasher (TTU), WR Dalton Rigdon (TTU), TE Donta Thompson (TTU), QB Khalil Tate (ARIZ), RB J.J. Taylor (ARIZ), WR Tayvian Cunningham (ARIZ)
MONTANA @ OREGON (10:45 pm Kickoff)
Spread: Oregon -37 | Total: 67.0
The Ducks exploded last week, going for over 600 yards of offense against Nevada. They have another chance to put up 70+ against Montana from the FCS, but with the Pac-12 opener against Stanford looming, I wouldn’t be surprised to see the first-team offense on the bench by the time the second half rolls around.
Regardless, I think you have to consider Justin Herbert ($8,400) after he threw for 300+ yards and 5 touchdowns last week. I’m not a big fan of Oregon receivers in DFS though, as Herbert spreads the ball around to so many of them, that it’s a rarity to see any one put up big numbers. Johnny Johnson III ($5,100) has led the team in targets for two straight weeks, but put up only 9 DK points last week, so you’ll have to be careful about having too much exposure.
C.J. Verdell ($6,600) is another GPP-only option for me. He has the ability to put up monster numbers, but I just don’t see him getting the volume needed for a night like that.
I really do think Oregon rests their starters in the second half, so Montana QB Dalton Sneed ($5,400) could find some success against the Duck reserves. This Grizzly offense is pass-heavy, with two main targets for Sneed – Samuel Akem ($4,800) and Samori Toure ($5,300). I’m not going to have a ton of ownership on these guys, but will have some sprinkles of the Montana offense.
DFS Targets: QB Justin Herbert (ORE), RB C.J. Verdell (ORE), WR Johnny Johnson III (ORE), QB Dalton Sneed (MONT), WR Samuel Akem (MONT), WR Samori Toure (MONT)
Late Night Slate (10:15 pm) Positional Rankings (ranked by value)
- Alan Bowman, Texas Tech, $6,800 (Cash or GPP)
- Khalil Tate, Arizona, $8,200 (Cash or GPP)
- Hank Bachmeier, Boise State, $5,800 (Cash or GPP)
- Justin Herbert, Oregon, $8,400 (Cash or GPP)
- Dalton Sneed, Montana, $5,400 (GPP)
- J.J. Taylor, Arizona, $6,400 (Cash or GPP)
- Ta’Zhawn Henry, Texas Tech, $5,300 (Cash or GPP)
- C.J. Verdell, Oregon, $6,600 (Cash or GPP)
- George Holani, Boise State, $4,600 (Cash or GPP) *Top play if Mahone is out
- Dalton Rigdon, Texas Tech, $5,200 (Cash or GPP)
- Johnny Johnson III, Oregon, $5,100 (Cash or GPP)
- T.J. Vasher, Texas Tech, $7,700 (GPP)
- Khalil Shakir, Boise State, $6,300 (Cash or GPP)
- Tayvian Cunningham, Arizona, $5,200 (Cash or GPP)
- Samuel Akem, Montana, $4,800 (GPP)
- Samori Toure, Montana, $5,300 (GPP)
- Donta Thompson, Texas Tech, $3,600 (GPP)
- Emmanuel Daigbe, Portland State, $3,000 (GPP)