What’s up #ELITEMAFIA, it’s a 3-game College Football Friday night starting at 8 PM EST. Tonight, these games should be higher scoring then Thursday so let’s jump right into the game by game breakdown.
Let’s jump right into the game by game breakdown.
Virginia @ Miami (FL) (8:00 PM KICKOFF)
Spread: MIA -2 | Total: 43.5
The game might be a fun one to watch, but it doesn’t seem like a DFS type. The O/U is almost 20 points less than the other two games. I’d say only players that I would consider are Virginia’s wideouts; First off, Joe Reed. Reed is coming off a 15-target game. The team leader in yards is Hasise Dubois. He has a $1,700 price drop from Reed. Either will work.
For the U, no Jarren Williams tonight, so N’Kosi Perry will start. Perry wasn’t really a good QB last year when he was the starter. The only Miami player that I would want to use is Brevin Jordan. His is below $5,000 on DraftKings and has an average of almost 6 targets a game as a TE.
DFS Targets: WR Joe Reed (UVA), WR Hasise Dubois (UVA), TE Brevin Jordan (UM)
Colorado State @ New Mexico (8:00 PM KICKOFF)
Spread: CSU -3.5 | Total: 65.5
This game should be a better DFS one. The game has a close spread so let’s hope for a shootout. Patrick O’Brien couldn’t have a better matchup than against New Mexico, who is allowing over 370 passing yards a game. He is only $5,700. Marvin Kinsley should be back tonight carrying the load. He averages over 100 yards a game. The other injury watch is Warren Jackson. He averages 13 targets a game and slate high 52 targets. If he is out, Nate Craig-Myers and Dante Wright will get the biggest upgrade. Each have over 6 targets a game and using one or two WRs with O’Brien seems like the way to go.
For New Mexico, the focus for them will be the running game. CSU is allowing over 245 rushing yards a game. Just like last week, Ahmari Davis should continue to eat against this week defense. If Sherion Jones draws the start, his dual threat makes him an option. He had 100 yards last week in relief
DFS Targets: QB Patrick O’Brien (CSU), RB Marvin Kinsley (CSU), WR Warren Jackson (CSU, WR Nate Craig-Myers (CSU), WR Dante Wright (CSU), RB Ahmari Davis (UNM)
Colorado @ Oregon (10:00 PM KICKOFF)
Spread: ORE -21 | Total: 59.5
The last game of the slate has some more injury watch and a high expected total. Starting with Colorado, Steven Montez has an average of 295 plus yards a game and with a 21-point spread, game theory suggest that he should be throwing it a ton. Alex Fontenot has seen his carries increase the last games and he is averaging close to 80 yards per. He is involved with the passing game with 3 targets per game. He has 22 Red Zone attempts. Tony Brown has been filling in for the team’s top WR, Laviska Shenault. He has seen 7 targets a game and now leads the team in yards. Injury watch will be on Shenault and Nixon. The 10pm start doesn’t help.
Justin Herbert gets a Colorado defense that is allowing over 310 passing yards a game. This game is another where you’ll want to stack Herbert with one or two WRs. Johnny Johnson and Jaylen Redd are the best two options. Each have over 30 targets thus far. TE Jacob Breeland leads the team with 6 Red Zone targets. He also leads the team in receiving yards. With the 3 TD spread, game theory leads us to the running backs. Colorado’s defense is allowing 160 yards rushing a game. The Oregon Injury watch is CJ Verdell. Travis Dye will benefit the most if Verdell sits. If he plays, both are fine.
DFS Targets: Steven Montez (CU), WR Tony Brown (CU), QB Justin Herbert (ORE), WR Johnny Johnson (ORE), Jaylen Redd (ORE), TE Jacob Breeland (ORE), RB Travis Dye (ORE)