Get your engines started for the Coca-Cola 600 DFS slate! Sean Engel provides top NASCAR Daily Fantasy Picks for Cup Series DraftKings & FanDuel lineups!
THIS WEEK’S RACE DETAILS:
Time & Date of Race: Sunday, May 30th, 2021 at 6:00 PM EST
Track: Charlotte Motor Speedway
Track Details: 1.5 Mile Asphalt Quad Oval
Banking of Turns: 24°
Banking of Straightaways: 5°
Race Length: 400 Laps/ 600 Miles
Last Race Details at Charlotte:
Date: May 28th, 2020
Race Winner: Chase Elliott
Lap Leaders (8 Total Drivers): Kevin Harvick (63), Alex Bowman (51), Joey Logano (42), Chase Elliott (28), William Byron (11), Matt DiBenedetto (10), Ryan Blaney (2), Michael McDowell (1)
Stage 1 Winner: Joey Logano
Stage 2 Winner: Alex Bowman
Drivers will accumulate points as follows below:
Place Differential (How many positions a driver finishes above or below their starting position):
+/- 1 Pt each
Fastest Laps (Awarded for the driver that sets the fastest lap time on each lap):
+ 0.45 Pts.
Laps Led (Awarded for each lap a driver leads the race):
+ 0.25 Pts.
Finishing Position (Awarded for where a driver finishes at the end of the race):
1st: +45 Pts.
2nd: +42 Pts.
3rd: + 41 Pts.
4th: + 40 Pts.
5th: + 39 Pts.
And the amount of points earned continues decreasing until the last finishing position in the field.
DK Scoring Notes to Keep in Mind:
- A driver’s starting position is based on his qualifying position. If a driver’s qualifying position is disallowed, his starting position will be his new spot at the back of the race. If a driver’s starting position changes between qualifying and the start of the race for any other reason (Example: going to a backup car) the original qualifying position will be used to calculate place differential.
- Finishing Position is defined as the driver’s standing order at the end of the race. Disqualifications related to same-day post-race inspection will not change a driver’s Finishing Position, Laps Led, or Fastest Laps stats.
Laps Completed (Awarded for all laps any driver completes): +0.1 Pts
Laps Led: +0.1 Pts.
Place Differential: +/- 0.5 Pts.
1st: +43 Pts.
2nd: +40 Pts.
3rd: +38 Pts.
4th: +37 Pts.
5th: +36 Pts.
And the amount of points earned continues decreasing until the last finishing position in the field.
If you’re new to Elite Sports’ DFS Picks articles, here is the rundown. Every week for each Cup race, this article will be published including driver outlooks based on a combination of track results, loop data, and performance from this season. If there are any pre-race events including qualifying and practices, this article will be updated based on their results upon completion. If a racer performs well or poorly throughout pre-race events, this will affect their outlook and be noted as such. Otherwise, all picks listed are final.
This article will feature three groups of driver recommendations: Top-priced picks, Mid-Tier picks, and Value Sleepers. Between each of these groups there will be 12 total drivers with their outlooks evaluated for this week’s race. These outlooks are here to help you make tough lineup calls that detail which drivers to start or park every week.
In case you want additional information to follow-up on this article, I encourage you to check out the cheat sheet for this race and the projections tab. Without further delay, I present to you the picks for this week’s race, the Coca-Cola 600 at Charlotte Motor Speedway.
Sunday’s Cup Series race at Charlotte is the longest NASCAR event of the year. As the longest Cup race for 2021, it features a higher lap count than most other tracks which affects DFS strategy a bit this week. While finishing position and place differential are always essential for a successful lineup, dominators, or drivers expected to lead numerous laps and portions of the race are key for a winning lineup this week. Recent races at Charlotte have featured usually two to four different drivers leading around 20 to 100 laps and this week’s race will be no exception.
There were pre-race events earlier this week including practice and qualifying, which help DFS players know who to target for lineups. Practice provided an early indication of which drivers have better speeds than the rest of the field. Qualifying sets the starting positions for Sunday’s race at Charlotte and also provides the Place Differential upside for each racer. Several drivers with higher prices to roster will be starting outside of the Top 10 that will climb through the pack based on equipment alone while other racers with lower prices start towards the front. Expect the most successful lineups for Sunday to feature a mix of top-priced picks with PD upside and lower-priced options that will finish around their starting position. Keep all of these points in mind while creating lineups for this week’s Coca-Cola 600.
LOOP DATA AND DRIVER STATS:
Here are the Top 10 drivers in the field this Sunday at Charlotte in Driver Rating since 2019:
1: Chase Elliott – 118.9
2: Martin Truex Jr. – 113.9
3: Ryan Blaney – 108.3
4: Alex Bowman – 104.7
5: Joey Logano – 103.3
6: Kevin Harvick – 102.6
7: Kyle Busch – 99.7
8: William Byron – 97.8
9: Brad Keselowski – 97.4
10: Kurt Busch – 89.2
Here are the Top 10 drivers in the field this Sunday at Charlotte in Average Running Position since 2019:
1: Chase Elliott – 7.0
2: Ryan Blaney – 7.5
3: Joey Logano – 7.8
4: Martin Truex Jr. – 8.9
5: Alex Bowman – 9.1
6: Kevin Harvick – 9.6
7: William Byron – 10.4
8: Kurt Busch – 10.8
9: Tyler Reddick – 11.1
10: Austin Dillon – 11.8
Here are the Top 10 drivers in the field this Sunday in Average Finish at Charlotte since 2018:
1: Martin Truex Jr. – 4.5
2: Chase Elliott – 4.5
3: Brad Keselowski – 7.8
4: Kyle Busch – 9.3
5: Joey Logano – 10.8
6: Ricky Stenhouse Jr. – 10.8
7: Tyler Reddick – 11.0
8: Kurt Busch – 11.8
9: Denny Hamlin – 12.8
10: Ryan Blaney – 13.8
Here are the Top drivers in the field this Sunday in Laps Led at Charlotte since 2018:
1: Kyle Busch – 456
2: Alex Bowman – 223
3: Martin Truex Jr. – 203
4: Chase Elliott – 109
5: Brad Keselowski – 99
6: Joey Logano – 80
7: Kevin Harvick – 77
8: Kurt Busch – 54
9: William Byron – 42
10: Denny Hamlin – 30
Here are the winners of the last 10 Charlotte races:
May 28th, 2020 – Chase Elliott
May 24th, 2020 – Brad Keselowski
May 2019 – Martin Truex Jr.
May 2018 – Kyle Busch
October 2017 – Martin Truex Jr.
May 2017 – Austin Dillon
October 2016 – Jimmie Johnson
May 2016 – Martin Truex Jr.
October 2015 – Joey Logano
May 2015 – Carl Edwards
COCA-COLA 600 DFS NASCAR PICKS FOR DRAFTKINGS AND FANDUEL LINEUPS
Kyle Larson #5 (DraftKings: $11,300 | FanDuel: $14,000) – Starting: 1st – One of the most competitive drivers at 1.5-Mile Intermediate tracks in 2021 is Kyle Larson. This season, the driver of the No. 5 Chevrolet has four top-5 finishes at the track type and led the most laps of all drivers (509). In his Cup Series career at Charlotte, Larson has four top-10 finishes including three of his last five races there. In practice for CMS, Larson set the third-fastest single lap while having the best 10 Consecutive Lap Average. The Hendrick Motorsports driver is one of the top favorites to win this week and should lead plenty of laps early since he starts in the pole position.
Denny Hamlin #11 (DraftKings: $10,800 | FanDuel: $12,500) – Starting: 14th – Joe Gibbs Racing driver Denny Hamlin is one of the better options for a top-priced pick this Sunday. In five races at 1.5-Mile Intermediate tracks this season, Hamlin has five finishes of 12th or better with three top-5 finishes. The driver of the No. 11 Toyota also led laps in four different Cup events at the track type and he has 10 top-5 finishes in his career at Charlotte including four of the last six races there. Hamlin was 11th in practice and based on his performances this season, look for Hamlin to score some PD and a finish in the Top 10 with a chance of placing in the Top 5.
Kyle Busch #18 (DraftKings: $10,200 | FanDuel: $13,500) – Starting: 20th – Kyle Busch is a top driver that will be a popular pick for good reason this Sunday. The driver of the No. 18 Toyota placed in the Top 10 in every race at 1.5-Mile Intermediate tracks so far in 2021 including a win at Kansas. In his Cup Series career at CMS, Busch has one win and 19 top-10 finishes while leading the most laps of active drivers at the site (1,449). Busch was 10th in practice for Charlotte and had the sixth-best 10 Consecutive Lap Average while he provides plenty of PD upside from his starting position. As a favorite for a strong finish and his consistency at 1.5-Mile Intermediate tracks, Kyle Busch is a great driver to anchor lineups around for Sunday.
William Byron #24 (DraftKings: $9,200 | FanDuel: $10,500) – Starting: 4th – Out of all top-priced picks, William Byron should not be underestimated as a favorite to win at Charlotte. Although he has one top-10 finish and led in two different races in four starts at the site, The driver of the No. 24 Chevrolet has been highly consistent this season. At 1.5-Mile Intermediate tracks in 2021, Byron placed in the Top 10 every time including a win at Homestead. Byron was ninth in practice while having the second-best 10 Consecutive Lap Average. Due to his equipment, practice speed, and consistency all season long, Byron must be considered for lineups by all DFS players at Charlotte.
Joey Logano #22 (DraftKings: $8,800| FanDuel: $11,500) – Starting: 16th – Despite being inconsistent at 1.5-Mile Intermediate tracks this season, Joey Logano is a driver to consider for Charlotte lineups on Sunday. In his career at CMS, the driver of the No. 22 Ford has one win and 11 top-10 finishes including two of his last three starts there. Since 2019 at the North Carolina track, Logano ranks third of active drivers in Average Running Position (7.8) and fifth in Driver Rating (103.3). In practice earlier this week for Sunday, Logano set the fifth-fastest single lap and his 10 Consecutive Lap Average was 16th. Logano’s team, Team Penske, usually provides solid equipment for 1.5-Mile Intermediate tracks, and considering his PD upside, Logano is a nice choice for this week.
Tyler Reddick #8 (DraftKings: $8,200 | FanDuel: $8,700) – Starting: 15th – Tyler Reddick is one of the best overall picks for this week’s race at Charlotte. In two starts at the track, Reddick has two top-15 finishes including a best finish of eighth. This season at 1.5-Mile Intermediate tracks, the driver of the No. 8 Chevrolet has three finishes of 12th or better including the last two races at the track type. In practice, Reddick posted the seventh-best single lap time and had the third-best 10 Consecutive Lap Average. Considering his practice speed, favorable track history, and his PD upside, watch for a quality result from Reddick on Sunday.
Austin Dillon #3 (DraftKings: $7,700 | FanDuel: $8,500) – Starting: 6th – Although Austin Dillon is one of the riskier plays from this price tier, he is still worth considering for Charlotte lineups. The driver of the No. 3 Chevrolet has six top-15 finishes in 12 starts at the North Carolina track including a finish of eighth in his last appearance there. This season, Dillon has four finishes of 12th or better at 1.5-Mile Intermediate tracks and had the fastest single lap in practice for CMS earlier this week. Dillon provides very little PD upside from his starting position, but his practice speed and favorable results at 1.5-Mile Intermediate tracks this season point to a better finishing position than most for the price this week.
Matt DiBenedetto #21 (DraftKings: $7,500 | FanDuel: $9,500) – Starting: 22nd – Wood Brothers Racing driver Matt DiBenedetto is a quality mid-tier option to keep in mind for lineups this week. The driver of the No. 21 Ford scored his career-best finish of 15th in his last start at CMS and captured positive PD five times in the Cup Series there. At 1.5-Mile Intermediate tracks this season, DiBenedetto has four top-20 finishes including two finishes of 11th or better in his last three races at the track type. In practice for Charlotte this week, DiBenedetto was 16th while his 10 Consecutive Lap Average was 11th. Based on his practice speed and increasingly favorable results at 1.5-Mile Intermediate tracks this season, DiBenedetto will place in the Top 15 and gain some PD on Sunday.
Chris Buescher #17 (DraftKings: $6,700 | FanDuel: $6,500) – Starting: 27th – Roush-Fenway Racing driver Chris Buescher is one of the best value picks for this week. In eight starts at Charlotte, the driver of the No. 17 Ford has two top-10 finishes, which he collected in his last three starts at the site. Buescher also placed in the Top 10 in each of the last three races at 1.5-Mile Intermediate tracks while finishing inside the Top 20 in every race at the track type this season. In practice, Buescher’s 10 Consecutive Lap Average was 21st and his fastest lap was 27th of all drivers. Even though he did not look strong in practice, Buescher has been great at 1.5-Mile Intermediate tracks this season and with his PD upside, he needs to be one of the first value picks to roster for lineups on Sunday.
Ryan Newman #6 (DraftKings: $6,500 | FanDuel: $5,500) – Starting: 25th – Chris Buescher’s teammate Ryan Newman also is a fantastic value sleeper for Charlotte. In 38 starts at the site, Newman has 24 top-20 finishes including two of his last three races. In 2021 at 1.5-Mile Intermediate tracks, the driver of the No. 6 Ford placed in the Top 20 in all races at the track type with three top-15 finishes. In practice for Charlotte this week, Newman was 13th while his 10 Consecutive Lap Average was 14th of all drivers. With his PD upside and favorable practice speed this week, Newman is a quality choice for Sunday with a high chance of placing in the Top 15.
Chase Briscoe #14 (DraftKings: $6,200 | FanDuel: $6,000) – Starting: 21st – Cup Series rookie Chase Briscoe is a driver to consider rostering in lineups as a bargain this week. In the Xfinity Series at Charlotte, Briscoe picked up his best career finish at the site this Saturday of sixth and led 60 laps. This season in the Cup Series, Briscoe has three top-20 finishes at 1.5-Mile Intermediate tracks while also procuring positive PD four times. In practice for CMS this week, Briscoe’s 10 Consecutive Lap Average was 20th and was ranked 26th on the Fastest Lap leaderboard. Considering his equipment with Stewart-Haas Racing and his price, Briscoe should place in the Top 20, which is better than most in this tier of drivers.
Anthony Alfredo #38 (DraftKings: $5,500 | FanDuel: $3,500) – Starting: 29th – Anthony Alfredo is making his first Cup Series start at Charlotte this Sunday. In his only NASCAR start at the site in the Truck Series, the driver of the No. 38 Ford scored positive PD and finished eighth in 2019. At Intermediate tracks this season, Alfredo has three top-25 finishes and acquired positive PD in four different races. In practice for Charlotte earlier this week, Alfredo’s 10 Consecutive Lap Average was 19th while his fastest lap was ranked 29th. Look for Alfredo to be a decent value pick for a top-25 based on his equipment and results this season at 1.5-Mile Intermediate tracks.
CORE 4 PICKS TO WIN:
- Kyle Larson
- Kyle Busch
- William Byron
- Martin Truex Jr.
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