Scott Bondar provides expert analysis for your CFB DFS teams to help you take down all the money!
The goal of the CFB DFS Slate Breakdown is to review the main CFB DFS slates on DraftKings and FanDuel, and also add analysis that will help gain knowledge for EliteFantasy Subscribers for future weeks.
College Football is much like other forms of DFS sports, with the main difference relating to the information being less accessible. There’s a legitimate advantage to watching games (especially with the mid-major teams) and finding how these teams and offensive (and defensive) systems function. Alleviating that end of the spectrum and providing actionable results will help provide an edge on our non-subscriber competition. It’s been a crazy and chaotic 2020 season in the college football world. But despite all that, let’s dive in, find some edges, and make this a winning slate for #Elitemafia.
Vegas (Main Slate)
Cheeze-it Bowl – 5:30 PM
Oklahoma State v Miami FL (o/u 61.5)
QB D’Eriq King has decided to return next year, and the matchup today will be something that could hurt his draft stock. Oklahoma State has held opposing QBs down all year, and he’s a GPP play, even on this small slate. The OSU defense allows just 205 passing yards a game. Pairing up King is how I will go today. Mike Harley and Brevin Jordan are the two options I would pair with King.
The place to start for Oklahoma State is stud wide receiver, Tylan Wallace. Wallace has voiced that players should be playing the bowls, and it seems like a great narrative of him showing out against the Miami Defense without star Al Blades Jr. The Running Back is where you can find some value today. L.D. Brown, Dezmon Jackson and Dominic Richardson will all be active and will be the dreaded three head monster. I recommend in GPPs to you one or even two to be different. Miami has allowed over 180 rushing yards a game.
Targets: QB D’Eriq King(GPP), TE Brevin Jordan, WR Tylan Wallace
Value: RB Dominic Richardson (FD), L.D. Brown (DK if he starts)
Alamo Bowl – 9 PM
Colorado v Texas (o/u 64)
Again, I am a big Sam Ehlinger fan, even though he’s had a shitty season for DFS. This matchup and small slate make him a great option and a popular play. Colorado has allowed over 30 fantasy points in two games. Texas has the highest implied total and his dual-threat ability in his last game as a Longhorn. Bijan Robinson has broken out, and with this matchup, he should be one of the first players in your builds. You can be different and go with Roschon Johnson to save salary and pivot.
The Wide Receivers is where it’s going to be a crapshoot. Jake Smith is second in target share and should see a bump with teammate Brennan Eagles entering the draft. Joshua Moore will see an increase too with no Eagles, and if you have the salary, go for it. Brennan Schooler could see more targets if Tarik Black sits, which is a rumor.
For DFS, Colorado’s offense starts with RB Jarek Broussard. The only true workhorse, the matchup has plenty of upside. He should see close to 25 touches. QB Sam Hoyer is the value QB on the slate. He is a dual-threat and should be passing a ton since this game looks to be controlled by Texas. The weakness for UT is the passing defense that allows nearly 275 passing yards a game. K.D. Nixon will see a bump with fellow teammate La’Vontae Shenault being suspended.
Targets: QB Sam Ehlinger, RB Bijan Robinson, RB Jarek Broussard
Value: WR K.D. Nixon (FD), WR Jake Smith, WR Brennan Schooler (if Black is out)
DK CORE: QB Sam Ehlinger, WR Jake Smith, TE Brevin Jordan
FD CORE: QB Sam Ehlinger, WR K.D. Nixon, RB Dominic Richardson