The “Brickyard” – Indianapolis Motor Speedway – This is a 160 lap event.
Big Machine Vodka 400 DFS Breakdown
- Indianapolis Motor Speedway
- Sunday 9/8/19 – 2:00 PM
- 2.5 mile
Last Race Notables: Brad Keselowski won.
- Laps Led – Hamlin and Bowyer: 37, Kyle Busch: 27, Harvick: 22, Kurt Busch: 19
- Start/Finish – Jones 13/2, Hamlin 10/3, Menard 19/9, Newman 17/10, McDowell 26/17, Ty Dillon 30/21, Sorenson 38/28, McLeod 40/30
Remember, number of laps sway the importance of scoring in different directions. Less laps = less laps led points and less fastest lap points, making place finish and place differential points a bit more valuable. Yes, you will still need the dominator, but it is less likely to have two or three of them and really separate them from the pack.
Process: Let me give you guys a better idea of what we are doing here for NASCAR. We put out an early article with some track stats and what drivers I will have my eyes on, based on some numbers. Things can change once qualifying and practice are over. So then we put out an update with drivers who seem to be fast or have had a good or bad qualifying run. I put out a total of 12 drivers I like and a few who I am off. The guys I am off are typically guys who don’t run that well here and have qualified in a decent position.
I am trying to narrow things down for you. Too much information can just be confusing. If you need more information, you can look at the projections tab. Take a look at the scoring to better understand why I do it this way.
Drivers will accumulate points as follows:
- Place Differential = +/- 1 PTs (Where they start vs. where they finish…Start 20th, Finish 10th = 10 pts)
- Fastest Laps = +0.5 PTs
- Laps Led = +0.25 PTs
- Finishing Position Scoring (winner 46 pts, 2nd 42 pts, 3rd 41, 4th 40, 39, 38, 37, etc…)
- .1 pts for each lap completed
- Place Differential = +/- .5 PTs (Where they start vs. where they finish…Start 20th, Finish 10th = 5 pts)
- Fastest Laps = +0.5 PTs
- Laps Led = +0.1 PTs
- Finishing Position Scoring (winner 43 pts, 2nd 40 pts, 3rd 38, 4th 37, 36, 35, 34, etc…)
Let’s take a look at some of the track stats.
BIG MACHINE VODKA 400 DFS PICKS
Notes: Qualifying is at 10:35am and the race is at 2pm. I will send out some updates if anything crazy happens between Q and the race.
Kyle Busch ($12,000) – BEAST. Every week, a threat to win and dominate!!
Brad Keselowski ($9,800) – Five top 10’s, two top 5’s and a win here last time out. Finished 1st and 2nd in his last two at Indy. Kes should be a guy you are looking at to win this weekend.
Kyle Larson ($10,300) – Three top 10’s, one top 5 for Larson at Indy. Finally figured things out this year and has found some real speed. He is also running hot. His last five races have the following finishes: 2nd, 6th, 3rd, 8th and 5th. He continues the hot run this weekend.
Kevin Harvick ($10,000) – Another hot driver in Harvick. 12 top 10’s, six top 5’s and a win here at Indy. Figuring things out at the right time, heading into the playoffs.
Clint Bowyer ($9,000) – Back against the wall. He is in the playoffs right now but will need a good run on Sunday to keep it. Clint finished 5th last time out at Indy. He has four top 10’s and three top 5’s here.
Erik Jones ($9,400) – Finished 2nd at Indy last year. Coming off a W last week. Look out for Jones this weekend. See if he can keep it up. Getting hot for the start of the playoffs.
Jimmie Johnson (8,000) – Fast in practices. Playoff life on the line. Seven top 10’s, six top 5’s and four wins here. Jimmie has had his struggles, but is my sleeper here at Indy…….TBD!!
Ryan Newman ($8,200) – Fast in practices. See JJ. Newman has five top 10’s, three top 5’s and a win here at Indy. All will be left out on the track this weekend.
Sleepers (Make sure we check starting positions)
Paul Menard ($6,800) – Three top 10’s and a top 5 here at Indy. He hasn’t finished worse than 16th in his last four here and finished 9th last year here. Solid cash game pick at $6,800.
Matt DiBenedetto ($7,300) – Golden boy in his new ride. Does have a top 10 at Indy on a bad team. Will be interesting to see what he does this weekend on a good team. I will have a decent share of him.
Daniel Suárez ($7,500) – Another guy with playoffs on the line. Suarez is fast in practice and has finished 18th and 7th in his only two here.
Chris Buescher ($7,100) – 25th, 9th and 14th in his three races at Indy. Fourth quickest in last practice. I like a solid run here on Sunday.
BIG MACHINE VODKA 400 PICKS TO WIN
- Brad Keselowski
- Kyle Larson
- Kyle Busch
- Sleeper – Jimmy Johnson
Last race predictions: Bojangles’ Southern 500
As usual, if you have any questions, hit me up on twitter @trmp31.