Before jumping into the details of this week’s PGA Tour Event, I wanted to mention a timeline for all PGA DFS items that you can expect each and every week from Frank and myself:
- Monday: Course/Event Preview
- Tuesday: Cash article, GPP article, Cheat Sheet, PGA DFS Video w/ Frank and I
- Wednesday: Chat room (8pm EST) to answer lineup questions
Without further ado, let’s jump into this week’s event.
Event: Shriners Hospital for Children Open
Dates: Thursday October 7th through Sunday October 10th
Course: TPC Summerlin
Field: 144 players
Cut: 65 and ties
Past Winners: Laird (2020), Na (2019), Dechambeau (2018), Cantlay (2017), Pampling (2016)
- Thursday-Sunday: 5pm-8pm EST (Golf Channel) plus PGA Tour Live
- TPC Summerlin is a par 71 measuring just beyond 7,200 yards that features 3 par 5s, 4 par 3s and 11 par 4s.
- Par 5s (559, 585, 536): birdie or better rate of 48% on par 5s so you will need to take advantage of these holes. Historically, scoring per hole is 45% more important on par 5s than par 3s or 4s on this course. What does that mean? Par 5s are how the leaders end up distinguishing themselves from the field.
- Par 3s (183, 254, 170, 199)
- Par 4s: Varying yardages from driveable to 486 yards
- The course plays easy as the winning score in 14 of the last 17 years has been at least -20
- Off the Tee:
- One big thing to note off the tee this week is that we are at elevation (about half a mile), which means that balls will travel about 3% further. This means that a 7,200 yard golf course will play more like a 7,000 yard course.
- There is not much of an edge to be had on this course off the tee as it only accounts for 18% of the strokes gained historically by top finishers.
- Approach Shots:
- This will be an important area this week especially since all 3 par 5s will be reachable.
- Slight increase in importance to the following yardage buckets: 100-125, 125-150, 200+ yards
- Accounts for 37% of strokes gained amongst top finishers
- The greens this week are bent grass and Tour average speed which means we should see a lot of putts made
- Putting is the 2nd most important stat this week behind approach play as it accounts for 32% of strokes gained.
- Around the Green:
- We typically see a larger number of greens hit in regulation here compared to a normal Tour event (73% compared to 65%). As such, there is a decreased importance on around the green game as that only accounts for about 13% of strokes gained per round.
What type of player typically succeeds here?
- There are 2 paths to victory at this course:
- Elite irons
- Elite putter
- If you somehow get both together, you will be in contention on Sunday afternoon.
What areas of a player’s game will be tested the most this week?
- Largest emphasis:
- Strokes Gained Approach
- Slight increased emphasis on 100-125, 125-150 and 200+ yards
- Strokes Gained Putting
- Par 5 Scoring
- All 3 of the par 5s will be reachable
- Birdies or Better
- Winning score will be -20 or better so birdies will need to be made
- Strokes Gained Approach
- Smaller emphasis:
- Strokes Gained off the Tee
- Strokes Gained Around the Green
Check back in on Tuesday for the Cash article, GPP article, Cheat Sheet and PGA DFS Video with Frank and I.